Date
GMT+01:00
Event
Apr, 30 02:00
★★★
PMI Manufacturing
PMI Manufacturing
Country:
Date: Apr, 30 02:00
Importance: High
Previous: 51.8
Forecast: 51.7
Actual: -
Period: Apr

A monthly gauge of manufacturing activity and future outlook. The CIPS PMI is comparable to the US ISM survey, similarly based on the opinions of executives in manufacturing companies. Purchasing managers are tasked with gauging future demand, and adjusting orders for materials accordingly. The PMI summarizes the opinions of these executives to give a picture of the future of the manufacturing sector. A higher PMI indicates that materials purchases are increasing and that the economic outlook is positive. Alternately, a lower PMI means orders for materials are down and the future outlook is less favorable. By nature, the figure is very sensitive to the business cycle and tends to match growth or decline in the economy as a whole.

The PMI is presented as an index with a value between 1-100.

Apr, 30 02:00
★★
Non-Manufacturing PMI
Non-Manufacturing PMI
Country:
Date: Apr, 30 02:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 55.1
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Apr

The official non-manufacturing PMI, released by China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing (CFLP), is based on a survey of about 1,200 companies covering 27 industries including construction, transport and telecommunications. It is the level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry and if it is above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below, indicates contraction.

May, 01 00:30
AIG Manufacturing Index
AIG Manufacturing Index
Country:
Date: May, 01 00:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 57.5
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Apr
May, 01 01:30
PMI Manufacturing
PMI Manufacturing
Country:
Date: May, 01 01:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 52.8
Forecast: 52.8
Actual: -
Period: Apr

A monthly gauge of manufacturing activity and future outlook. The CIPS PMI is comparable to the US ISM survey, similarly based on the opinions of executives in manufacturing companies. Purchasing managers are tasked with gauging future demand, and adjusting orders for materials accordingly. The PMI summarizes the opinions of these executives to give a picture of the future of the manufacturing sector. A higher PMI indicates that materials purchases are increasing and that the economic outlook is positive. Alternately, a lower PMI means orders for materials are down and the future outlook is less favorable. By nature, the figure is very sensitive to the business cycle and tends to match growth or decline in the economy as a whole.

The PMI is presented as an index with a value between 1-100.

May, 01 02:00
MI Inflation Gauge
MI Inflation Gauge
Country:
Date: May, 01 02:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.1% m/m; 2.2% y/y
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Apr
This data provides a monthly look at consumer inflation and is designed to mimic the quarterly government-released CPI data. Full reports are only available to Melbourne Institute subscribers.
May, 01 07:30
Commodity Prices
Commodity Prices
Country:
Date: May, 01 07:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 50.1% y/y
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Apr

This indicator measures commodities exported from Australia.

May, 01 08:15
Retail Sales
Retail Sales
Country:
Date: May, 01 08:15
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.6% y/y
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Mar

Gauge for goods sold at retail outlets in the past month. Retail Sales is a leading indicator for the Swiss economy since private consumption makes up a large portion of Swiss Gross Domestic Product. Rising consumer spending fuels economic growth, confirms signals from consumer confidence, and may spark inflationary pressures.

The headline figure is expressed as the percentage change from the same month last year.

May, 01 10:00
★★
European Commission Economic Forecasts
European Commission Economic Forecasts
Country:
Date: May, 01 10:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: May

Economic forecasts concentrate on the EU, its individual member states, and the euro area but also include outlooks for some of the world's other major economies, and countries that are candidates for EU membership. ECFIN's forecasts are published three times a year in sync with the EU's annual cycle of economic surveillance procedures, known as the European Semester.

May, 01 13:30
★★
Core PCE Price Index
Core PCE Price Index
Country:
Date: May, 01 13:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 0.2% m/m; 1.8% y/y
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Mar
The "core" PCE price index is defined as personal consumption expenditures (PCE) prices excluding food and energy prices. The core PCE price index measures the prices paid by consumers for goods and services without the volatility caused by movements in food and energy prices to reveal underlying inflation trends. Food prices consist of those included in the PCE category of “food and beverages purchased for off-premises consumption.” Prices included in the PCE category “food services and accommodations” are not included in the “food” price index because these services prices tend to be far less volatile than those for food commodities such as meats, fresh vegetables and fruits. Energy prices consist of those included in the PCE categories of “gasoline and other energy goods” and of “electricity and gas” utilities.
May, 01 13:30
★★
Personal Spending
Personal Spending
Country:
Date: May, 01 13:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 0.1% m/m
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Mar

Comprehensive measure of how much consumers spend each month, counting expenditures on durable goods, consumer products, and services. Personal Consumption is a comprehensive measure of GDP; consequently the figure is watched as an indicator for economic trends. Spending also has direct affect on inflationary pressures.

A healthy Personal Spending figure means that consumers are buying goods and services, fueling the economy and spurring output growth. The report is particularly valued for forecasting inflationary pressures. Taken in excess these high levels of consumption and production may lead to an overall increase in prices. Indeed, the Fed uses a measure of inflation derived from the PCE as their primary gauge of inflation.

On the other hand, persistently low Personal Spending may result in decreasing levels of output and an economic downturn.

Because income is either spent or saved, Personal Spending (when reported as a percent of income rather than the headline percent change) has an inverse relationship to personal saving. Economists watch the growth of Personal Spending in relation to income and saving to determine if consumers are living beyond their means, which would influence levels of borrowing and future consumption.

The PCE figure is released in headlines as a percent change from the previous month.

May, 01 13:30
Personal Income
Personal Income
Country:
Date: May, 01 13:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.4% m/m
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Mar

Broad gauge of employee earnings in the US . Personal Income measures the pre-tax income households receive from employment, investments, and transfer payments. As wages and salaries make up the majority of Personal Income, the figure can provide insight on the US employment situation. However, because Personal Income is released after the headline employment figure and earnings figures, its impact on the market is muted. The figure is still useful in gauging the purchasing ability of consumers, though, as rising Personal Income allows for strong consumers spending. Such spending drives output growth and fuels the US economy.

May, 01 14:30
★★
RBC Manufacturing PMI (s.a.)
RBC Manufacturing PMI (s.a.)
Country:
Date: May, 01 14:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 55.5
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Apr
Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index. It reflects either improvement (>50) or worsening (<50) of the situation compared with the previous month. Growth in the indicator and higher-than-expected reading favors the local currency.
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