Date
GMT+01:00
Event
Sep, 18 23:45
★★
Trade Balance
Trade Balance
Country:
Date: Sep, 18 23:45
Importance: Medium
Previous: -578M; -3941M
Forecast: -746M
Actual: -
Period: Aug

A country's trade balance reflects the difference between exports and imports of goods and services. The trade balance is one of the biggest components of the Balance of Payment, giving valuable insight into pressures on country's currency.

Surpluses and Deficits
A positive Trade Balance (surplus) indicates that exports are greater than imports. When imports exceed exports, the country experiences a trade deficit. Because foreign goods are usually purchased using foreign currency, trade deficits usually reflect currency leaking out of the country. Such currency outflows may lead to a natural depreciation unless countered by comparable capital inflows (inflows in the form of investments, FDI - where foreigners investing in local equity, bond or real estates markets). At a bare minimum, deficits fundamentally weigh down the value of the currency.

Ramifications of Trade Balance on Markets
There are a number of factors that work to diminish the market impact of Trade Balance upon immediate release. The report is not very timely, coming some time after the reporting period. Developments in many of the figure's components are also typically anticipated well beforehand. Lastly, since the report reflects data for a specific reporting month or quarter, any significant changes in the Trade Balance should plausibly have already been felt during that period - and not during the release of data.

However, because of the overall significance of Trade Balance data in forecasting trends in the Forex Market, the release has historically been one of the most important reports out of the any country.

Sep, 19 00:01
GfK Consumer Confidence Survey
GfK Consumer Confidence Survey
Country:
Date: Sep, 19 00:01
Importance: Low
Previous: -17
Forecast: -18
Actual: -
Period: Sep

Consumer Confidence measures the level of confidence households have in economic performance. Generally rising consumer confidence acts as a precursor to higher consumer expenditures which drive economic expansion. The report also breaks down results into parts of the economy, giving a detailed picture of the consumer climate in Great Britain. GfK Consumer Confidence is one of the most closely watched surveys. The survey results are quantified into index where 0 represents long term Consumer Confidence averages. The headline figure is expressed in percentage change. On a global basis, the indicator is very important for the economy, as it reflects consumers sentiments which formed the major portion of Great Britain GDP. The survey is conducted monthly by GfK, a market research organization, on behalf of the EU commission.

Sep, 19 00:30
★★★
National CPI
National CPI
Country:
Date: Sep, 19 00:30
Importance: High
Previous: 3.1%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Aug

National Consumer Price Index (CPI) is the key gauge for inflation in Japan. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Yen, where each Yen buys fewer goods and services. In terms of measuring inflation, CPI is the most obvious way to quantify changes in purchasing power. The report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical Japanese household might purchase. An increase in the index indicates that it takes more Yen to purchase this same set of basic consumer items.

Markets will typically pay more attention to "CPI excluding Fresh Food," because it excludes volatile food prices that can distort overall CPI. The headline figure for CPI is the percentage change in the index on a month to month or year to year basis.

As the most important indicator of inflation, CPI figures are closely followed by the Bank of Japan. Rising Consumer Prices may prompt the BoJ to raise interest rates in order to manage inflation and slow economic growth. Higher interest rates make holding the Yen more attractive to foreign investors, and this higher level of demand will place upward pressure on the value of the Yen.

Sep, 19 00:30
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National CPI ex Fresh Food
National CPI ex Fresh Food
Country:
Date: Sep, 19 00:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 3.1%
Forecast: 2.7%
Actual: -
Period: Aug

National Consumer Price Index (CPI) is the key gauge for inflation in Japan. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Yen, where each Yen buys fewer goods and services. In terms of measuring inflation, CPI is the most obvious way to quantify changes in purchasing power. The report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical Japanese household might purchase. An increase in the index indicates that it takes more Yen to purchase this same set of basic consumer items.

Markets will typically pay more attention to "CPI excluding Fresh Food," because it excludes volatile food prices that can distort overall CPI. The headline figure for CPI is the percentage change in the index on a month to month or year to year basis.

As the most important indicator of inflation, CPI figures are closely followed by the Bank of Japan. Rising Consumer Prices may prompt the BoJ to raise interest rates in order to manage inflation and slow economic growth. Higher interest rates make holding the Yen more attractive to foreign investors, and this higher level of demand will place upward pressure on the value of the Yen.

Sep, 19 04:00
Credit Card Spending
Credit Card Spending
Country:
Date: Sep, 19 04:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.1%; 1.4%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Aug

Shows a change in the total expenditure made via credit cards.

Sep, 19 07:00
PPI
PPI
Country:
Date: Sep, 19 07:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -0.1%; -1.5%
Forecast: -0.1%; -1.8%
Actual: -
Period: Aug

Measures changes in the selling prices producers charge for goods and services, and well as tracks how prices feed through the production process. Because producers tend to pass on higher costs to consumers as higher retail prices, the PPI is valuable as an early indicator of inflation. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Dollar, where each dollar buys fewer goods and services. The report also gives insight into how higher prices from raw materials flow toward the final product.

A rise in PPI signals an increase in inflationary pressures. Given the economic instability associated with rising price levels, the Fed often will raise interest rates to check inflation. A low or falling PPI is indicative of declining prices, and may suggest an economic slowdown.

The headline figure is expressed in percentage change of producer price.

Notes: The PPI records prices at various stages of production: raw goods, intermediate goods and finished goods. Though intermediate and crude goods prices do provide insight for future inflationary pressure, it is the price of finished goods that generates most interest for market participants. The finished goods data is able to gauge price pressure before the goods reach the retail market.

Sep, 19 07:00
★★
Retail Sales With Auto Fuel
Retail Sales With Auto Fuel
Country:
Date: Sep, 19 07:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 0.6%; 1.1%
Forecast: 0.4%; 0.6%
Actual: -
Period: Aug

Change in the total value of inflation-adjusted sales at the retail level with auto fuel. It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity.

Sep, 19 07:00
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Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel
Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel
Country:
Date: Sep, 19 07:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 0.5%; 1.3%
Forecast: 0.3%; 0.8%
Actual: -
Period: Aug

A monthly measurement of all goods sold by retailers based on a sampling of retail stores of different types and sizes. The retail sales index is often taken as an indicator of consumer confidence.

Sep, 19 07:00
Public Sector Net Borrowing
Public Sector Net Borrowing
Country:
Date: Sep, 19 07:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 1.1
Forecast: 12.5
Actual: -
Period: Aug
In the U.K., the amount of expenditures less the total receipts taken in by the government. Public sector net borrowing is the measure of fiscal surpluses and deficits along with the amount of new debt created. If this number is positive, it means the U.K. is running a fiscal deficit, while a negative number represents a fiscal surplus.
Sep, 19 07:30
★★★
Bank of Japan Press Conference
Bank of Japan Press Conference
Country:
Date: Sep, 19 07:30
Importance: High
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -

Press conference of the BoJ.

Sep, 19 13:30
★★
Retail Sales
Retail Sales
Country:
Date: Sep, 19 13:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 1.5%; 1.9%
Forecast: -0.6%; -0.4%
Actual: -
Period: Jul

Gauge for goods sold at retail outlets in the past month. Retail Sales is a leading indicator for the economy. Rising consumer spending fuels economic growth, confirms signals from consumer confidence, and may spark inflationary pressures.

The headline figure is expressed as the percentage change from the same month last year.

Sep, 19 18:00
Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count
Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count
Country:
Date: Sep, 19 18:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 539
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Sep
The Baker Hughes rig count is an important business barometer for the oil drilling industry. When drilling rigs are active they consume products and services produced by the oil service industry. The active rig count acts as a leading indicator of demand for oil products.
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