Date
GMT+02:00
Event Value
Jan, 15 15:30
★★★
Unemployment Claims
Unemployment Claims
Country:
Date: Jan, 15 15:30
Importance: High
Previous: 207K
Forecast: 215K
Actual: 198K
Period: Jan

The indicator shows the number of unemployed people in the USA.

198K
Jan, 15 09:00
★★★
GDP
GDP
Country:
Date: Jan, 15 09:00
Importance: High
Previous: 0.1%; 0.0%
Forecast: 0.1%; -0.2%
Actual: 0.3%; 0.1%
Period: Nov

The Gross Domestic Product is a comprehensive measure of an overall production and consumption of goods and services. GDP serves as one of the primary measures of overall economic well-being. While GDP announcements generally conform to expectations, unanticipated changes in this metric can move markets.

Robust GDP growth signals a heightened level of economic activity and often a higher demand for the domestic currency. At the same time, economic expansion raises concerns about inflationary pressures which may lead monetary authorities to increase interest rates. Thus better than expected GDP figures are generally bullish for the Euro, while negative readings are generally bearish.

Technically, Gross Domestic Product is calculated in the following way:

GDP = C + I + G + (EX - IM)

where

C = private consumption, I = private investment, G = government expenditure, EX = exports of goods and services, IM = imports of goods and services.

French GDP figures, officially called Quarterly National Accounts, are released quarterly. The headline figures are annualized percentage changes in real and nominal GDP.

0.3%; 0.1%
Jan, 14 15:30
★★★
Retail Sales
Retail Sales
Country:
Date: Jan, 14 15:30
Importance: High
Previous: -0.1%; 0.2%
Forecast: 0.5%; 0.4%
Actual: 0.6%; 0.5%
Period: Nov

An aggregated measure of the sales of retail goods over a stated time period, typically based on a data sampling that is extrapolated to model an entire country. In the U.S., the retail sales report is a monthly economic indicator compiled and released by the Census Bureau and the Department of Commerce. The report covers the previous month, and is released about two weeks after the month-end. Comparisons are made against historical data; year-over-year comparisons are the most-reported metric because they account for the seasonality of consumer-based retail.

0.6%; 0.5%
Jan, 14 15:30
★★★
PPI Core
PPI Core
Country:
Date: Jan, 14 15:30
Importance: High
Previous: 0.3%; 3.0%
Forecast: 0.2%; 2.7%
Actual: 0.0%; 3.0%
Period: Nov

The Core Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the change in the selling price of goods and services sold by producers, excluding food and energy. The PPI measures price change from the perspective of the seller. When producers pay more for goods and services, they are more likely to pass the higher costs to the consumer, so PPI is thought to be a leading indicator of consumer inflation.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.

0.0%; 3.0%
Jan, 14 15:30
★★★
PPI
PPI
Country:
Date: Jan, 14 15:30
Importance: High
Previous: 0.1%; 2.8%
Forecast: 0.2%; 2.7%
Actual: 0.2%; 3.0%
Period: Nov

Measures changes in the selling prices producers charge for goods and services, and well as tracks how prices feed through the production process. Because producers tend to pass on higher costs to consumers as higher retail prices, the PPI is valuable as an early indicator of inflation. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Dollar, where each dollar buys fewer goods and services. The report also gives insight into how higher prices from raw materials flow toward the final product.

A rise in PPI signals an increase in inflationary pressures. Given the economic instability associated with rising price levels, the Fed often will raise interest rates to check inflation. A low or falling PPI is indicative of declining prices, and may suggest an economic slowdown.

The headline figure is expressed in percentage change of producer price.

Notes: The PPI records prices at various stages of production: raw goods, intermediate goods and finished goods. Though intermediate and crude goods price do provide insight for future inflationary pressure, it is the price of finished goods that generates most interest for market participants. The finished goods data is able to gauge price pressure before the goods reach the retail market.

0.2%; 3.0%
Jan, 13 15:30
★★★
Consumer Price Index Core
Consumer Price Index Core
Country:
Date: Jan, 13 15:30
Importance: High
Previous: 0.2%; 2.6%
Forecast: 0.3%; 2.7%
Actual: 0.2%; 2.6%
Period: Dec

CPI Excluding Food and Energy - United States

The CPI is also reported excluding food and energy; two of its most volatile components. These components are particularly sensitive to temporary economic factors like oil prices, natural disasters and seasonal affects. Consequently, CPI excluding Food and Energy provides a more stable figure, but at the cost of overlooking two significant sectors in the economy (together food and energy comprise nearly a quarter of the goods included in the CPI).

The figure is the monthly percent change in the index.

0.2%; 2.6%
Jan, 13 15:30
★★★
Consumer Price Index
Consumer Price Index
Country:
Date: Jan, 13 15:30
Importance: High
Previous: 0.2%; 2.7%
Forecast: 0.3%; 2.7%
Actual: 0.3%; 2.7%
Period: Dec

CPI assesses changes in the cost of living by measuring changes consumer pay for a set of items. CPI serves as the headline figure for inflation. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the dollar, where each dollar buys fewer goods and services. In terms of measuring inflation, CPI is the most obvious way to quantify changes in purchasing power. The report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical American household might purchase. An increase in the Consumer Price Index indicates that it takes more dollars to purchase the same set basket of basic consumer items.

Inflation is generally bad news for the economy, causing instability, uncertainty and hardship. To address inflation, the Fed may raise interest rates. However, the Fed relies on the PCE Deflator as its primary gauge of inflation because the CPI does not account for the ability of consumer to substitute out of CPI's set. Price changes tend to cause consumers to switch from buying one good to a less expensive-other, a tendency that the fixed-basket CPI figure does not yet account for. Given that the PCE Deflator is a more comprehensive calculation, based on changes in consumption; it is the figure the Fed prefers.

The figure is released monthly, as either a month over month annualized percentage change, or percentage change for the full year. The figure is seasonally adjusted to account seasonal consumption patterns.

On A Technical Note: The CPI includes over 200 categories of goods and services included, divided into 8 main groups, each with a different weight: Housing, Transportation, Food, Medical Care, Education and Communication, Recreation, Apparel, and Other Goods and Services.

0.3%; 2.7%
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