Date
GMT+02:00
Event Value
Feb, 13 15:30
★★★
Consumer Price Index Core
Consumer Price Index Core
Country:
Date: Feb, 13 15:30
Importance: High
Previous: 0.2%; 2.6%
Forecast: 0.3%; 2.5%
Actual: 0.3%; 2.5%
Period: Jan

CPI Excluding Food and Energy - United States

The CPI is also reported excluding food and energy; two of its most volatile components. These components are particularly sensitive to temporary economic factors like oil prices, natural disasters and seasonal affects. Consequently, CPI excluding Food and Energy provides a more stable figure, but at the cost of overlooking two significant sectors in the economy (together food and energy comprise nearly a quarter of the goods included in the CPI).

The figure is the monthly percent change in the index.

0.3%; 2.5%
Feb, 13 15:30
★★★
Consumer Price Index
Consumer Price Index
Country:
Date: Feb, 13 15:30
Importance: High
Previous: 0.3%; 2.7%
Forecast: 0.3%; 2.5%
Actual: 0.2%; 2.4%
Period: Dec

CPI assesses changes in the cost of living by measuring changes consumer pay for a set of items. CPI serves as the headline figure for inflation. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the dollar, where each dollar buys fewer goods and services. In terms of measuring inflation, CPI is the most obvious way to quantify changes in purchasing power. The report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical American household might purchase. An increase in the Consumer Price Index indicates that it takes more dollars to purchase the same set basket of basic consumer items.

Inflation is generally bad news for the economy, causing instability, uncertainty and hardship. To address inflation, the Fed may raise interest rates. However, the Fed relies on the PCE Deflator as its primary gauge of inflation because the CPI does not account for the ability of consumer to substitute out of CPI's set. Price changes tend to cause consumers to switch from buying one good to a less expensive-other, a tendency that the fixed-basket CPI figure does not yet account for. Given that the PCE Deflator is a more comprehensive calculation, based on changes in consumption; it is the figure the Fed prefers.

The figure is released monthly, as either a month over month annualized percentage change, or percentage change for the full year. The figure is seasonally adjusted to account seasonal consumption patterns.

On A Technical Note: The CPI includes over 200 categories of goods and services included, divided into 8 main groups, each with a different weight: Housing, Transportation, Food, Medical Care, Education and Communication, Recreation, Apparel, and Other Goods and Services.

0.2%; 2.4%
Feb, 13 12:30
★★★
Key bank rate
Key bank rate
Country:
Date: Feb, 13 12:30
Importance: High
Previous: 16.0%
Forecast: 16.0%
Actual: 15.5%
Period: Feb
The Bank Rossii decision on short term interest rate. The decision on where to set interest rates depends mostly on growth outlook and inflation. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability. High interest rates attract foreigners looking for the best "risk-free" return on their money, which can dramatically increases demand for the nation's currency. A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the RUB, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the RUB.
15.5%
Feb, 12 15:30
★★★
Unemployment Claims
Unemployment Claims
Country:
Date: Feb, 12 15:30
Importance: High
Previous: 232K
Forecast: 222K
Actual: 227K
Period: Feb

The indicator shows the number of unemployed people in the USA.

227K
Feb, 12 09:00
★★★
GDP
GDP
Country:
Date: Feb, 12 09:00
Importance: High
Previous: 0.1%; 1.2%
Forecast: 0.2%; 1.2%
Actual: 0.1%; 1.0%
Period: 4 quarter

The Gross Domestic Product is a comprehensive measure of an overall production and consumption of goods and services. GDP serves as one of the primary measures of overall economic well-being. While GDP announcements generally conform to expectations, unanticipated changes in this metric can move markets.

Robust GDP growth signals a heightened level of economic activity and often a higher demand for the domestic currency. At the same time, economic expansion raises concerns about inflationary pressures which may lead monetary authorities to increase interest rates. Thus better than expected GDP figures are generally bullish for the Euro, while negative readings are generally bearish.

Technically, Gross Domestic Product is calculated in the following way:

GDP = C + I + G + (EX - IM)

where

C = private consumption, I = private investment, G = government expenditure, EX = exports of goods and services, IM = imports of goods and services.

French GDP figures, officially called Quarterly National Accounts, are released quarterly. The headline figures are annualized percentage changes in real and nominal GDP.

0.1%; 1.0%
Feb, 12 09:00
★★★
GDP
GDP
Country:
Date: Feb, 12 09:00
Importance: High
Previous: 0.2%; -0.1%
Forecast: 0.1%; 0.2%
Actual: 0.1%; 0.1%
Period: Dec

The Gross Domestic Product is a comprehensive measure of an overall production and consumption of goods and services. GDP serves as one of the primary measures of overall economic well-being. While GDP announcements generally conform to expectations, unanticipated changes in this metric can move markets.

Robust GDP growth signals a heightened level of economic activity and often a higher demand for the domestic currency. At the same time, economic expansion raises concerns about inflationary pressures which may lead monetary authorities to increase interest rates. Thus better than expected GDP figures are generally bullish for the Euro, while negative readings are generally bearish.

Technically, Gross Domestic Product is calculated in the following way:

GDP = C + I + G + (EX - IM)

where

C = private consumption, I = private investment, G = government expenditure, EX = exports of goods and services, IM = imports of goods and services.

French GDP figures, officially called Quarterly National Accounts, are released quarterly. The headline figures are annualized percentage changes in real and nominal GDP.

0.1%; 0.1%
Feb, 11 15:30
★★★
Unemployment Rate
Unemployment Rate
Country:
Date: Feb, 11 15:30
Importance: High
Previous: 4.4%
Forecast: 4.4%
Actual: 4.3%
Period: Jan

The percentage of individuals in the labor force who are without a job but actively seeking one. A higher Unemployment Rate is generally a drain on the economy. Not only does it mean that resources are not being fully utilized, but it also results in lower consumer spending as there are fewer workers receiving paychecks.

Note: The unemployment rate generally moves slowly, so changes of only a few tenths of a percent are still considered significant. Also note that the unemployment rate does not account for discouraged workers. Therefore, in an economically depressed environment, such as that which occurred in Cold War era East Germany, the Unemployment Rate may not accurately reflect the extent of problems.

4.3%
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