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Event Previous Forecast Actual
Feb, 23 15:00
★★
FOMC Member Lael Brainard Speaks
FOMC Member Lael Brainard Speaks
Country:
Date: Feb, 23 15:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -
Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy.
- - -
Feb, 24 14:30
Labor Cost
Labor Cost
Country:
Date: Feb, 24 14:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.9%
Forecast: 1.7%
Actual: -
Period: 4 quarter

The indicator reflects the quarterly changes in salaries and other income received by working population.

0.9% 1.7% -
Feb, 24 14:30
Non-Farm Productivity
Non-Farm Productivity
Country:
Date: Feb, 24 14:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 2.3%
Forecast: 1.7%
Actual: -
Period: 4 quarter

Measures the output produced for each hour of labor worked. Non-farm Productivity is considered the most accurate gauge of overall business health, given farming data's small and volatile contribution to GDP. To businesses, higher productivity indicates efficient use of employees and capital. Given that labor costs make up more than two-thirds of the average businesses expenses, high productivity can allow a firm to fulfill consumer demand with less labor costs, boosting profitability. Thus trends in this report can precede investment spending and business growth. Also if prices for raw materials increase, improved productivity can save a firm from passing higher costs to the end consumer. Given such business effects, healthy productivity growth bodes well for the economy as a whole, signalling increased production capability and business growth.

Productivity is reported as output per hour per worker, categorized into industry figures.

On a Technical Note: The Non-Farm Productivity number is generated by comparing the number of hours worked (Employment Situation report) to Gross Domestic Product data.

2.3% 1.7% -
Feb, 24 14:30
Wholesale Inventories
Wholesale Inventories
Country:
Date: Feb, 24 14:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.8%
Forecast: 0.9%
Actual: -
Period: Nov

The stock of unsold goods held by wholesalers. Wholesalers act as intermediaries between manufacturers or importers, and retailers. Wholesalers sell directly to retailers, who strive to act in accordance (ideally) with consumer demand. Consequently, high Wholesale Inventories indicate that unsold goods are piling up, suggesting that retailers are facing lagging consumer demand and unwilling to purchase goods. Conversely, declining Wholesale Inventories suggest retailers are buying more goods to meet strong or rising demand. Because Wholesale Inventories reflect the demand retailers have for their manufacturers' wares, the report offers an early indication of the potential strength of consumer spending.

Wholesale Inventories are reported in headlines as a percent change from the previous month.

0.8% 0.9% -
Feb, 24 14:30
★★
Goods Trade Balance
Goods Trade Balance
Country:
Date: Feb, 24 14:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: -77.2bln
Forecast: -75.5bln
Actual: -
Period: Nov
Since July 2015, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis has started publishing preliminary estimate of goods trade balance. This release will be 4-7 earlier than trade balance data. Growth in the reading favors the US dollar.
-77.2bln -75.5bln -
Feb, 24 14:30
★★
Trade Balance
Trade Balance
Country:
Date: Feb, 24 14:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: -2.1bln
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Dec

A country's trade balance reflects the difference between exports and imports of goods and services. The trade balance is one of the biggest components of the Balance of Payment, giving valuable insight into pressures on country's currency.

Surpluses and Deficits
A positive Trade Balance (surplus) indicates that exports are greater than imports. When imports exceed exports, the country experiences a trade deficit. Because foreign goods are usually purchased using foreign currency, trade deficits usually reflect currency leaking out of the country. Such currency outflows may lead to a natural depreciation unless countered by comparable capital inflows (inflows in the form of investments, FDI - where foreigners investing in local equity, bond or real estates markets). At a bare minimum, deficits fundamentally weigh down the value of the currency.

Ramifications of Trade Balance on Markets
There are a number of factors that work to diminish the market impact of Trade Balance upon immediate release. The report is not very timely, coming some time after the reporting period. Developments in many of the figure's components are also typically anticipated well beforehand. Lastly, since the report reflects data for a specific reporting month or quarter, any significant changes in the Trade Balance should plausibly have already been felt during that period - and not during the release of data.

However, because of the overall significance of Trade Balance data in forecasting trends in the Forex Market, the release has historically been one of the most important reports out of the any country.

-2.1bln - -
Feb, 25 00:50
Corporate Service Price Index
Corporate Service Price Index
Country:
Date: Feb, 25 00:50
Importance: Low
Previous: 1.1%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Jan

Change in the price of services purchased by corporations. It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when corporations pay more for services the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer.

1.1% - -
Feb, 25 12:00
CBI retail sales volume balance
CBI retail sales volume balance
Country:
Date: Feb, 25 12:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Feb

Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed retailers and wholesalers: above 0 indicates higher sales volume, below indicates lower. This is a survey of about 160 retail and wholesale companies which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current sales volume. It's a leading indicator of consumer spending because retailer and wholesaler sales are directly influenced by consumer buying levels.
 

- - -
Feb, 25 16:00
Wholesale Inventories
Wholesale Inventories
Country:
Date: Feb, 25 16:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.3%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Dec

The stock of unsold goods held by wholesalers. Wholesalers act as intermediaries between manufacturers or importers, and retailers. Wholesalers sell directly to retailers, who strive to act in accordance (ideally) with consumer demand. Consequently, high Wholesale Inventories indicate that unsold goods are piling up, suggesting that retailers are facing lagging consumer demand and unwilling to purchase goods. Conversely, declining Wholesale Inventories suggest retailers are buying more goods to meet strong or rising demand. Because Wholesale Inventories reflect the demand retailers have for their manufacturers' wares, the report offers an early indication of the potential strength of consumer spending.

Wholesale Inventories are reported in headlines as a percent change from the previous month.

0.3% - -
Feb, 26 06:00
BOJ Core CPI
BOJ Core CPI
Country:
Date: Feb, 26 06:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.4%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Jan
Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate.
0.4% - -
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