Date
GMT+01:00
Event Previous Forecast Actual
May, 20 23:45
★★
Trade Balance
Trade Balance
Country:
Date: May, 20 23:45
Importance: Medium
Previous: 698M; -3191M
Forecast: 842M
Actual: -
Period: Apr

A country's trade balance reflects the difference between exports and imports of goods and services. The trade balance is one of the biggest components of the Balance of Payment, giving valuable insight into pressures on country's currency.

Surpluses and Deficits
A positive Trade Balance (surplus) indicates that exports are greater than imports. When imports exceed exports, the country experiences a trade deficit. Because foreign goods are usually purchased using foreign currency, trade deficits usually reflect currency leaking out of the country. Such currency outflows may lead to a natural depreciation unless countered by comparable capital inflows (inflows in the form of investments, FDI - where foreigners investing in local equity, bond or real estates markets). At a bare minimum, deficits fundamentally weigh down the value of the currency.

Ramifications of Trade Balance on Markets
There are a number of factors that work to diminish the market impact of Trade Balance upon immediate release. The report is not very timely, coming some time after the reporting period. Developments in many of the figure's components are also typically anticipated well beforehand. Lastly, since the report reflects data for a specific reporting month or quarter, any significant changes in the Trade Balance should plausibly have already been felt during that period - and not during the release of data.

However, because of the overall significance of Trade Balance data in forecasting trends in the Forex Market, the release has historically been one of the most important reports out of the any country.

698M; -3191M 842M -
May, 21 00:50
Core Machinery Orders
Core Machinery Orders
Country:
Date: May, 21 00:50
Importance: Low
Previous: 13.6%; 24.7%
Forecast: -8.7%
Actual: -
Period: Mar

Japan machinery orders received from the private sector excluding volatile orders.

13.6%; 24.7% -8.7% -
May, 21 00:50
Trade Balance
Trade Balance
Country:
Date: May, 21 00:50
Importance: Low
Previous: 90.7bln; 667.0bln
Forecast: -230.0
Actual: -
Period: Apr

The difference between the total value of exports and the total value of imports. A positive figure indicates a trade surplus while a negative value represents a trade deficit. Because Japan 's economy is highly export-led, trade data can give critical insight into developments in Japan 's economy and changes into foreign exchange rates.

A surplus reflects capital flowing into Japan in exchange for Japanese exports, and a deficit means that capital is flowing out of Japan as imports are purchased in larger volumes by Japanese consumers. A trade surplus will act as an appreciating weight on the Yen, whereas a trade deficit will place downward pressure on the Yen's value.

Details in the Trade Balance report itself give useful insight into changing trends regarding Japanese trade. Such developments are especially important for the country, which is an export-oriented economy that has historically experienced large trade surpluses. Any affect on this could have dramatic affect on the domestic economy.

The headline figure for trade balance is expressed in millions of Yen and usually accompanied by a year-on-year percentage change figure.

90.7bln; 667.0bln -230.0 -
May, 21 01:30
PMI Manufacturing
PMI Manufacturing
Country:
Date: May, 21 01:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 55.1
Forecast: 54.5
Actual: -
Period: May

A monthly gauge of manufacturing activity and future outlook. The CIPS PMI is comparable to the US ISM survey, similarly based on the opinions of executives in manufacturing companies. Purchasing managers are tasked with gauging future demand, and adjusting orders for materials accordingly. The PMI summarizes the opinions of these executives to give a picture of the future of the manufacturing sector. A higher PMI indicates that materials purchases are increasing and that the economic outlook is positive. Alternately, a lower PMI means orders for materials are down and the future outlook is less favorable. By nature, the figure is very sensitive to the business cycle and tends to match growth or decline in the economy as a whole.

The PMI is presented as an index with a value between 1-100.

55.1 54.5 -
May, 21 01:30
Tertiary Industry Index
Tertiary Industry Index
Country:
Date: May, 21 01:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 51.0
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: May

Evaluates the monthly change in output produced by Japan's service sector. Because this report excludes manufacturing and only measures service industries catering mainly to domestic needs, the Tertiary Industry Index is a key indicator of domestic activity. The index incorporates data from firms involved in wholesale and retail trade, financial services, health care, real estate, leisure and utilities. The report excludes industrial manufacturing sectors that tend to be influenced by foreign demand. The tertiary industry index is posted monthly as a percentage change from the previous month's figure.

51.0 - -