Date
GMT+01:00
Event Previous Forecast Actual
Jun, 05 10:00
Retail Sales
Retail Sales
Country:
Date: Jun, 05 10:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.8%; 3.7%
Forecast: 0.2%
Actual: -
Period: Apr

Gauge for goods sold at retail outlets in the past month. Retail Sales is a leading indicator for the economy. Rising consumer spending fuels economic growth, confirms signals from consumer confidence, and may spark inflationary pressures.

The headline figure is expressed as the percentage change from the same month last year.

0.8%; 3.7% 0.2% -
Jun, 05 13:30
★★★
Non-Farm Payrolls
Non-Farm Payrolls
Country:
Date: Jun, 05 13:30
Importance: High
Previous: 115K
Forecast: 95K
Actual: -
Period: May

One of the most widely anticipated reports on the US economic calendar, the Employment Situation is a timely report that gives a picture of job creation, loss, wages and working hours in the United States. Data in the report relies on the Household Survey and the Establishment (or Payroll) Survey. While the Household Survey is based on the interviews to US households, the Establishment Survey queries business establishments, making it the preferred source of data. The Employment Situation's has many significant figures such as: Change in Non Farm Payrolls, Unemployment, Manufacturing Payrolls, and Average Hourly Earnings.

The headline figures for this report are reported monthly, as the total number of new jobs in thousands (say, 120K new jobs), and the unemployment rate.

Change in Non-farm Payrolls

Monthly change in employment excluding the farming sector. Non-farm payrolls is the most closely watched indicator in the Employment Situation, considered the most comprehensive measure of job creation in the US. Such a distinction makes the NFP figure highly significant, given the importance of labor to the US economy. Specifically, political pressures come into play, as the Fed is responsible for keeping employment in a healthy range and utilizes interest rate changes to do so. A surge in new Non-farm Payrolls suggests rising employment and potential inflation pressures, which the Fed often counters with rate increases. On the other hand, a consistent decline in Non-farm Employment suggests a slowing economy, which makes a decline in rates more likely.

115K 95K -
Jun, 05 13:30
★★★
Unemployment Rate
Unemployment Rate
Country:
Date: Jun, 05 13:30
Importance: High
Previous: 4.3%
Forecast: 4.3%
Actual: -
Period: May

The percentage of individuals in the labor force who are without a job but actively seeking one. A higher Unemployment Rate is generally a drain on the economy. Not only does it mean that resources are not being fully utilized, but it also results in lower consumer spending as there are fewer workers receiving paychecks.

Note: The unemployment rate generally moves slowly, so changes of only a few tenths of a percent are still considered significant. Also note that the unemployment rate does not account for discouraged workers. Therefore, in an economically depressed environment, such as that which occurred in Cold War era East Germany, the Unemployment Rate may not accurately reflect the extent of problems.

4.3% 4.3% -
Jun, 05 13:30
★★
Average Hourly Earnings
Average Hourly Earnings
Country:
Date: Jun, 05 13:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 0.2%; 3.6%
Forecast: 0.3%
Actual: -
Period: May

An indicator of how the average level of pay is changing. The Average Hourly Earnings figure provides insight into future spending and inflation. A High Average Hourly Earnings bodes well for future consumption, as workers have more disposable income. High figures may indicate inflationary pressures due to employee's additional potential to spend. The figure is either measured in hourly or weekly averages or as a percent change from the previous month.

0.2%; 3.6% 0.3% -
Jun, 05 13:30
★★
Change in Private Payrolls
Change in Private Payrolls
Country:
Date: Jun, 05 13:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 123K
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: May

Private Nonfarm Payrolls measures the change in the number of total payrolls in any business, excluding general government employees, private household employees, employees of nonprofit organizations that provide assistance to individuals and farm employees.

123K - -