Date
GMT+01:00
Event Previous Forecast Actual
Jun, 09 07:00
Industrial Production
Industrial Production
Country:
Date: Jun, 09 07:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -0.7%; -2.8%
Forecast: 0.1%
Actual: -
Period: Apr

Measures the per volume change in output from mining, quarrying, manufacturing, energy and construction sectors in Germany. Industrial production is significant as a short-term indicator of the strength of German industrial activity. High or rising Industrial Production figures suggest increased production and economic expansion, healthy for the Euro. However, uncontrolled levels of production and consumption can spark inflation.

The report is only a preliminary estimate figure that does not move the markets much. The figure is released in headlines as a monthly percent change.

-0.7%; -2.8% 0.1% -
Jun, 09 07:00
Trade Balance
Trade Balance
Country:
Date: Jun, 09 07:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 14.3bln; 19.9bln
Forecast: 14.2
Actual: -
Period: Apr

The difference between the value of exports and imports in Germany. Trade Balance is one of the biggest components of Germany 's Balance of Payment. As Germany is Europe's largest economy and given Germany's export oriented economy, trade data can give critical insight into pressures on the value of the Euro.

In order to gauge the effect of German Trade Balance on the Euro, German trade is separated into intra-Eurozone trades and extra-Eurozone trades. Intra-trades between Germany and Eurozone countries have no affect on the overall valuation of Euro. Extra-trades between Germany and other countries outside of Eurozone do impact the overall Eurozone trade balance. Given Germany's large share of Eurozone exports, the figure tends to move the market upon release.

Trade surpluses reflect funds coming into Germany in exchange for goods and services. Such currency inflows may lead to a natural appreciation of a Euro, unless countered by similar capital outflows. At a bare minimum, surpluses will boost up the value of the currency.

The headline figure for trade balance is expressed in billions of Euros.

14.3bln; 19.9bln 14.2 -
Jun, 09 07:00
Prelim Machine Tool Orders
Prelim Machine Tool Orders
Country:
Date: Jun, 09 07:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -2.3%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: May

This is a report which measures the change in the total value of new orders placed with machine tool manufacturers.

-2.3% - -
Jun, 09 11:00
NFIB Small Business Index
NFIB Small Business Index
Country:
Date: Jun, 09 11:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 95.9
Forecast: 96.0
Actual: -
Period: May
Survey of small businesses which asks respondents to rate the relative level of economic conditions including labor markets, inventories and sales, capital spending, inflation, earnings and wages, and credit markets.
95.9 96.0 -
Jun, 09 13:30
★★
Trade Balance
Trade Balance
Country:
Date: Jun, 09 13:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: -60.3
Forecast: -55.2
Actual: -
Period: Apr

A country's trade balance reflects the difference between exports and imports of goods and services. The trade balance is one of the biggest components of the Balance of Payment, giving valuable insight into pressures on country's currency.

Surpluses and Deficits
A positive Trade Balance (surplus) indicates that exports are greater than imports. When imports exceed exports, the country experiences a trade deficit. Because foreign goods are usually purchased using foreign currency, trade deficits usually reflect currency leaking out of the country. Such currency outflows may lead to a natural depreciation unless countered by comparable capital inflows (inflows in the form of investments, FDI - where foreigners investing in local equity, bond or real estates markets). At a bare minimum, deficits fundamentally weigh down the value of the currency.

Ramifications of Trade Balance on Markets
There are a number of factors that work to diminish the market impact of Trade Balance upon immediate release. The report is not very timely, coming some time after the reporting period. Developments in many of the figure's components are also typically anticipated well beforehand. Lastly, since the report reflects data for a specific reporting month or quarter, any significant changes in the Trade Balance should plausibly have already been felt during that period - and not during the release of data.

However, because of the overall significance of Trade Balance data in forecasting trends in the Forex Market, the release has historically been one of the most important reports out of the any country.

-60.3 -55.2 -