Date
GMT+01:00
Event
Oct, 25 07:00
Import Price Index
Import Price Index
Country:
Date: Oct, 25 07:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 1.4% m/m; 16.5% y/y
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Sep

This index measures changes in the prices of imports into a country per month.

Oct, 25 09:00
★★
Ifo Business Climate Index
Ifo Business Climate Index
Country:
Date: Oct, 25 09:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 98.8
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Oct

The Ifo Business Climate Index is a closely followed leading indicator for economic activity in Germany prepared by the Ifo Institute for Economic Research in Munich. It is based on ca. 7,000 monthly survey responses of firms in manufacturing, construction, wholesaling and retailing. The firms are asked to give their assessments of the current business situation and their expectations for the next six months. They can characterise their situation as "good", "satisfactorily" or "poor" and their business expectations for the next six months as "more favourable", "unchanged" or "more unfavourable". The replies are weighted according to the importance of the industry and aggregated. The balance value of the current business situation is the difference of the percentages of the responses "good" and "poor", the balance value of the expectations is the difference of the percentages of the responses "more favourable" and "more unfavourable". The business climate is a mean of the balances of the business situation and the expectations.

Oct, 25 09:00
★★
Ifo Current Assessment
Ifo Current Assessment
Country:
Date: Oct, 25 09:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 100.4
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Oct

One of the country's key business sentiment surveys (Ifo - Information and Forschung Survey). The survey is conducted monthly, querying German firms on the current German business climate as well as their expectations for the next six months. As the largest economy in the Eurozone, Germany is responsible for approximately a quarter of the total Eurozone GDP.

Consequently, the German Ifo is a significant economic health indicator for the Eurozone as a whole. Positive readings bode well for the economy, suggesting increased consumer spending and economic growth. Conversely, low Ifo readings may be indicative of economic slowdown.

The index uses 100 as a centerline between positive and negative outlooks; the further the value is from 100 the stronger the sentiment. The survey presents two equally weighted sub-indices: Current Assessment and Business Expectations.

Ifo Current Assessment
Measures current German business conditions, without considering future expectations.

Oct, 25 09:00
★★
IFO - Expectations
IFO - Expectations
Country:
Date: Oct, 25 09:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 97.3
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Oct

One of the country's key business sentiment surveys (Ifo - Information and Forschung Survey). The survey is conducted monthly, querying German firms on the current German business climate as well as their expectations for the next six months. As the largest economy in the Eurozone, Germany is responsible for approximately a quarter of the total Eurozone GDP. Consequently, the German Ifo is a significant economic health indicator for the Eurozone as a whole. Positive readings bode well for the economy, suggesting increased consumer spending and economic growth. Conversely, low Ifo readings may be indicative of economic slowdown.

The index uses 100 as a centerline between positive and negative outlooks; the further the value is from 100 the stronger the sentiment. The survey presents two equally weighted sub-indices: Current Assessment and Business Expectations.

Ifo Expectations
Based on firms' expectations for the next six months, where firms rate the future outlook as better, same, or worse.

Oct, 25 11:00
Bundesbank Monthly Report
Bundesbank Monthly Report
Country:
Date: Oct, 25 11:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -

Market impact tends to be greater when the report reveals a viewpoint that clashes with the ECB's stance. It contains relevant articles, speeches, statistical tables, and provides detailed analysis of current and future economic conditions from the bank's viewpoint.

Oct, 25 14:00
NBB Business Climate
NBB Business Climate
Country:
Date: Oct, 25 14:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 4.0
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Oct

Assesses overall business environment in a country.

Oct, 26 00:50
Corporate Service Price Index
Corporate Service Price Index
Country:
Date: Oct, 26 00:50
Importance: Low
Previous: 1.0%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Sep

Change in the price of services purchased by corporations. It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when corporations pay more for services the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer.

Oct, 26 06:00
BOJ Core CPI
BOJ Core CPI
Country:
Date: Oct, 26 06:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.3%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Sep
Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate.
Oct, 26 11:00
CBI retail sales volume balance
CBI retail sales volume balance
Country:
Date: Oct, 26 11:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 11
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Oct

Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed retailers and wholesalers: above 0 indicates higher sales volume, below indicates lower. This is a survey of about 160 retail and wholesale companies which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current sales volume. It's a leading indicator of consumer spending because retailer and wholesaler sales are directly influenced by consumer buying levels.
 

Oct, 26 14:00
House Price Index
House Price Index
Country:
Date: Oct, 26 14:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 1.4%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Aug

A resumptive index of house prices reflecting prices for new constructions and resale real estate markets. As all indices connected with the construction industry it can be seasonally adjusted.

Oct, 26 14:00
Case-Shiller 20 City
Case-Shiller 20 City
Country:
Date: Oct, 26 14:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 19.9%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Aug
The S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Indices are the leading measures of U.S. residential real estate prices, tracking changes in the value of residential real estate both nationally as well as in 20 metropolitan regions.
Oct, 26 15:00
★★★
Consumer Confidence
Consumer Confidence
Country:
Date: Oct, 26 15:00
Importance: High
Previous: 109.3
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Oct

Assessment of consumer sentiment regarding business conditions, employment and personal income. Based on a representative sample of thousands of mail-in surveys, the Conference Board index has the largest pooling sample of any US measure of consumer confidence. Consumer Confidence levels are generally linked with consumer spending. For instance, when consumer confidence is on the rise consumer spending tends to increase. Low or falling consumer confidence on the other hand is typically associated with decreased spending and consumer demand.

Some analysts criticize the Consumer Confidence figure for its volatile tendencies and weak connection to household expenditure, turning instead to the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence numbers. The volatility of the Consumer Confidence figure is attributed to two factors: its pooling size and the survey time frame focus. The Conference Board surveys an entirely new group of people each month, resulting in more erratic month to month figures. Additionally, the survey queries respondents on expectations for the following six months, a relatively short term evaluation. Conversely, the University of Michigan survey will re-poll many individuals and focuses on expectations for the next one to five years. The long term focus has a stabilizing effect on consumer confidence.

Survey results are printed in the headlines where 100 reflects a recent base year.

Oct, 26 15:00
★★
New Home Sales
New Home Sales
Country:
Date: Oct, 26 15:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 740K; 1.5%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Sep

Records sales of newly constructed residences in the United States. The figure is a timely gauge of housing market conditions counting home sales when initial housing contracts are signed. Because New Home Sales usually trigger a sequence of consumption, they have significant market impact upon release. In addition to the high expenditure of the new home, buyers are likely to spend more money on furnishing customizing and financing their home. Consequently, growth in the housing market spurs more consumption, generating demand for goods, services and the employees who provide them.

Generally, the housing market is tracked by a number of reports that mark different stages of the construction and home sale process. The first stage is Building Permits, which precede Housing Starts, which lead to Construction Spending, MBA Mortgage Applications and, finally, New Home Sales and Existing Home Sales. As the headline housing figure, New Home Sales are believed to control some of the volatility of other data. For instance, Building Permits and Housing Starts are considered more indicative of business confidence and production rather than consumer spending. And while Existing Home Sales figures are more indicative of consumer expenditures, they are lagging indicators with less predictive value. New Home Sales numbers are considered confirmatory of housing trends and still predictive of consumer spending.

New Home Sales is also a good indicator of economic turning points due to its sensitivity to consumer income. Buying a house is always a major expenditure, typically only undertaken when consumers have sufficient savings or are optimistic about future earnings. Historically, when economic conditions slow, New Home Sales are one of the first indicators to reflect the change. By the same token, New Home Sales undergo substantial growth when the economy has emerged from recession and wages have begun to pick up.

The report headline is the total amount of properties sold.

Oct, 26 15:00
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
Country:
Date: Oct, 26 15:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -3
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Oct

Assesses regional manufacturing conditions for the Richmond Fed District. Based on mail-in surveys from a representative sample of manufacturing plants, the Richmond Fed Index seeks to track industrial performance. The report puts particular emphasis on inflationary pressures.

Though the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey is valued for its quick turnaround, it is still released after the ISM survey. As a result, the figure is often used to affirm or question the ISM report, and has little impact on markets. The Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey also asks manufacturing executives to stress price expectations. Some markets participants use this data as an early gauge to CPI and PPI reports released a few days later.

The headline figure is a three-month average, calculated by finding the percentage difference between positive and negative responses for the last three months, using a zero boom/bust centerline.

Note: The survey covers such topics as shipments, order volume, backlog volume, capacity utilization, vendor lead time, employees, average workweek, wages, inventory levels, and capital expenditures. The Fifth District includes the District of Columbia , Maryland , both Carolinas, and most of the Virginias.

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