Date
GMT+00:00
Event
Mar, 16 12:15
Housing Starts
Housing Starts
Country:
Date: Mar, 16 12:15
Importance: Low
Previous: 238.0K
Forecast: 243.0K
Actual: -
Period: Feb

Reflects the rate of growth in housing construction. Housing Starts act as an indicator measuring the strength of Canada's construction sector and housing market. Economists also use the figure as a leading indicator for the economy as a whole due to Housing Starts' sensitivity to changes in the business cycle. Housing Starts slow at the onset of a recession and quickly grow at the beginning of an economic boom; consequently, a high Housing Starts figure forecasts strong economic growth.

The headline figure is the percentage change in new home starts.

Mar, 16 12:30
★★★
Consumer Price Index
Consumer Price Index
Country:
Date: Mar, 16 12:30
Importance: High
Previous: 0.0%; 2.3%
Forecast: 0.7%
Actual: -
Period: Feb

The key gauge for inflation in Canada. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Canadian Dollar, meaning each Dollar buys fewer goods and services. CPI is the most obvious way to measure changes in purchasing power - the report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical Canadian household might purchase. An increase in the index indicates that it takes more Dollars to purchase this same set of basic consumer items.

As the most important indicator of inflation in Canada , Consumer Price figures are closely followed by Canada 's central bank. The Bank of Canada has a target inflation band of 1 - 3 % and uses CPI and Core CPI as its principle gauge (the Bank of Canada posts inflation targets and CPI on their homepage). A rising CPI may prompt the central bank to raise interest rates in order to manage inflation and slow economic growth. Higher interest rates make holding the Dollar more attractive to foreign investors, and this higher level of demand will place upward pressure on the value of the Dollar.

Mar, 16 12:30
★★
Consumer Price Index Core
Consumer Price Index Core
Country:
Date: Mar, 16 12:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 0.2%; 2.6%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Feb

CPI Excluding Core Eight

The Consumer Price Index excluding eight items which the Bank of Canada has deemed to have the most volatility from month to month. The goods omitted tend to fluctuate idiosyncratically and may distort CPI data. The headline figure for CPI is the percentage change in the index on a month to month and year to year basis.

Note : These Eight items include: fruit, vegetables, gasoline, fuel oil, natural gas, mortgage interest, inter-city transportation and tobacco products. Changes in the CPI Excluding the Core 8 are recognized as a better indicator of inflation than the regular CPI. The headline figure is reported as a percent change on both the month to month and year to year basis.

Mar, 16 12:30
★★
Common Core CPI
Common Core CPI
Country:
Date: Mar, 16 12:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 2.7%
Forecast: 2.6%
Actual: -
Period: Feb
The Common calculation helps expose the underlying inflation trend through filtering out price movements that might be caused by factors specific to certain components. Source first released in Dec 2016. Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate.
Mar, 16 12:30
★★
Trimmed Core CPI
Trimmed Core CPI
Country:
Date: Mar, 16 12:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 2.4%
Forecast: 2.4%
Actual: -
Period: Feb
Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding 40% of components with extreme price movements. The Trimmed Mean calculation helps expose the underlying inflation trend through component weighting and anomaly exclusion. Source first released in Dec 2016. Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate.
Mar, 16 12:30
★★
Median Core CPI
Median Core CPI
Country:
Date: Mar, 16 12:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 2.5%
Forecast: 2.4%
Actual: -
Period: Feb
The Median calculation helps expose the underlying inflation trend through exclusion of extreme price movements specific to certain components. Source first released in Dec 2016. Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate.
Mar, 16 12:30
★★
NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index
NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index
Country:
Date: Mar, 16 12:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 7.1
Forecast: 4.0
Actual: -
Period: Mar

  Survey assessing business conditions and expectations of manufacturing executives in New York . Though the survey is relatively new and New York has a considerably small number of manufacturers, the report has shown a promising correlation to the Philadelphia Fed Index and the market moving ISM Manufacturing Survey. Thus Empire serves as a useful earlier indicator of overall manufacturing in the US .

Results are calculated as the difference between percentage of positive and negative scores; zero acts as the breakeven point. A high figure is bullish for the dollar, indicating positive business sentiment conducive to growth in production. A low or negative number signals poor business conditions.

Mar, 16 13:15
★★
Industrial Production
Industrial Production
Country:
Date: Mar, 16 13:15
Importance: Medium
Previous: 0.7%
Forecast: 0.1%
Actual: -
Period: Feb

Measures changes in the volume of output produced by the manufacturing, mining, and utility sectors in the USA. Because industrial production is a measure of output volume rather than dollar value, the figure is not distorted by inflation and is considered a more "pure" indicator for US industry. Though industrial production only accounts for a relatively small portion of the GDP, it accounts for most of the volatility in GDP and is considered highly sensitive to changes in interest rate and consumer demand. Therefore understanding trends in this figure are important to forecasting the GDP. High or rising Industrial Production figures suggest increased production and economic expansion. However, uncontrolled levels of production and consumption can spark inflation.

The figure varies significantly month to month due to the fact that seasonal and weather related factors often alter factory production and utility demand. Because of this volatility, the report has limited market impact.

The figure is calculated as a weighted aggregate of goods and reported in headlines as a percent change from previous months.

Mar, 16 13:15
Manufacturing Production
Manufacturing Production
Country:
Date: Mar, 16 13:15
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.6%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Feb

The UK Manufacturing Production index is compiled by the National Statistics Office and measures the level of manufacturing output. It is an important indicator since it measures growth in the country’s manufacturing industry which is a major component of Gross Domestic Product. A low reading is considered bearish for the Sterling.

Mar, 16 13:15
Capacity Utilization
Capacity Utilization
Country:
Date: Mar, 16 13:15
Importance: Low
Previous: 76.2%
Forecast: 76.2%
Actual: -
Period: Feb

Capacity Utilization measures the extent to which US manufacturing companies make use of their installed productive capacity (factories and machinery). Capacity Utilization reflects overall growth and demand in the economy, rising when the economy is vibrant, and falling when demand softens. High capacity utilization also exerts inflationary pressures as scarce resources are in higher demand. However, it may also lead to new capital investments, such as new plants, that promote growth in the future.

Mar, 16 14:00
NAHB Housing Market Index
NAHB Housing Market Index
Country:
Date: Mar, 16 14:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 36
Forecast: 37
Actual: -
Period: Mar

A timely gauge of home sales and expectations for future home building. Based on a small sample of homebuilders, the Housing Market Index is a timely indicator of future US home sales. However, as the index is not as comprehensive as formal housing reports like new home sales or MBA mortgage applications, the index acts more like a supplemental indicator for predicting housing trends.

As such, the NAHB Housing Market Index is still able to provide general insight to where the housing market is heading. Given that new home sales reflect 'big ticket' items that require construction and investment, the housing market is often viewed as an indicator of the direction of the economy as a whole. Growth in the housing market will spur subsequent spending, generating demand for goods and services and the employees who provide them.

The report headline is expressed in percentage change from the previous month. The NAHB Housing Market Index divides the Single-Family Sales data into three categories: Present, Next 6 Months and Prospective Buyers Traffic.

Mar, 16 21:45
Food Price
Food Price
Country:
Date: Mar, 16 21:45
Importance: Low
Previous: 2.5%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Feb

Measures the price change of food and food services purchased by households. Higher food prices can result in economic slowdown because less disposable income will be used for non-food expenditures. Higher food prices can also result in inflation and signal future monetary action.

Higher domestic food prices may also suggest higher food prices internationally. New Zealand 's economy is largely based on producing and exporting agricultural goods and food products. Therefore, the Food Price Index can reflect demand for New Zealand products and for the New Zealand dollar. A higher reading may suggest a strengthening of the Dollar as foreigners pay relatively more for New Zealand 's exports.

The headline number is the percentage change in the index from the previous month.

Mar, 17 03:30
★★★
RBA Interest Rate Decision
RBA Interest Rate Decision
Country:
Date: Mar, 17 03:30
Importance: High
Previous: 3.85%
Forecast: 4.10%
Actual: -
Period: Mar
The Reserve Bank sets the target 'cash rate', which is the market interest rate on overnight funds. It uses this as the instrument for monetary policy, and influences the cash rate through its financial market operations. Decisions regarding the cash rate target are made by the Reserve Bank Board and explained in a media release announcing the decision at 2.30 pm after each Board meeting.
Mar, 17 03:30
★★★
RBA Monetary Policy Statement
RBA Monetary Policy Statement
Country:
Date: Mar, 17 03:30
Importance: High
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -

The RBA Monetary Policy Statement released by the Reserve bank of Australia reviews economic and financial conditions, determines the appropriate stance of monetary policy and assesses the risks to its long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth. It is considered as a clear guide to the future RBA interest rate policy. Any changes in this report affect the AUD volatility. If the RBA statement shows a hawkish outlook, that is seen as positive (or bullish) for the AUD, while a dovish outlook is seen as negatvie (or bearish).

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