Date
GMT+00:00
Event
Feb, 11 13:30
★★★
Non-Farm Payrolls
Non-Farm Payrolls
Country:
Date: Feb, 11 13:30
Importance: High
Previous: 50K
Forecast: 70K
Actual: -
Period: Jan

One of the most widely anticipated reports on the US economic calendar, the Employment Situation is a timely report that gives a picture of job creation, loss, wages and working hours in the United States. Data in the report relies on the Household Survey and the Establishment (or Payroll) Survey. While the Household Survey is based on the interviews to US households, the Establishment Survey queries business establishments, making it the preferred source of data. The Employment Situation's has many significant figures such as: Change in Non Farm Payrolls, Unemployment, Manufacturing Payrolls, and Average Hourly Earnings.

The headline figures for this report are reported monthly, as the total number of new jobs in thousands (say, 120K new jobs), and the unemployment rate.

Change in Non-farm Payrolls

Monthly change in employment excluding the farming sector. Non-farm payrolls is the most closely watched indicator in the Employment Situation, considered the most comprehensive measure of job creation in the US. Such a distinction makes the NFP figure highly significant, given the importance of labor to the US economy. Specifically, political pressures come into play, as the Fed is responsible for keeping employment in a healthy range and utilizes interest rate changes to do so. A surge in new Non-farm Payrolls suggests rising employment and potential inflation pressures, which the Fed often counters with rate increases. On the other hand, a consistent decline in Non-farm Employment suggests a slowing economy, which makes a decline in rates more likely.

Feb, 11 13:30
★★★
Unemployment Rate
Unemployment Rate
Country:
Date: Feb, 11 13:30
Importance: High
Previous: 4.4%
Forecast: 4.4%
Actual: -
Period: Jan

The percentage of individuals in the labor force who are without a job but actively seeking one. A higher Unemployment Rate is generally a drain on the economy. Not only does it mean that resources are not being fully utilized, but it also results in lower consumer spending as there are fewer workers receiving paychecks.

Note: The unemployment rate generally moves slowly, so changes of only a few tenths of a percent are still considered significant. Also note that the unemployment rate does not account for discouraged workers. Therefore, in an economically depressed environment, such as that which occurred in Cold War era East Germany, the Unemployment Rate may not accurately reflect the extent of problems.

Feb, 11 13:30
★★
Average Hourly Earnings
Average Hourly Earnings
Country:
Date: Feb, 11 13:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 0.3%; 3.8%
Forecast: 0.3%; 3.6%
Actual: -
Period: Jan

An indicator of how the average level of pay is changing. The Average Hourly Earnings figure provides insight into future spending and inflation. A High Average Hourly Earnings bodes well for future consumption, as workers have more disposable income. High figures may indicate inflationary pressures due to employee's additional potential to spend. The figure is either measured in hourly or weekly averages or as a percent change from the previous month.

Feb, 11 13:30
★★
Change in Private Payrolls
Change in Private Payrolls
Country:
Date: Feb, 11 13:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 37K
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Jan

Private Nonfarm Payrolls measures the change in the number of total payrolls in any business, excluding general government employees, private household employees, employees of nonprofit organizations that provide assistance to individuals and farm employees.

Feb, 11 13:30
Participation rate
Participation rate
Country:
Date: Feb, 11 13:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 62.4%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Jan

A measure of the active portion of an economy's labor force. The participation rate refers to the number of people who are either employed or are actively looking for work. The number of people who are no longer actively searching for work would not be included in the participation rate. During an economic recession, many workers often get discouraged and stop looking for employment, as a result, the participation rate decreases. The participation rate is an important metric to note when looking at unemployment data because unemployment figures reflect the number of people who are looking for jobs but are unable to secure employment.

Feb, 11 13:30
Building Permits
Building Permits
Country:
Date: Feb, 11 13:30
Importance: Low
Previous: -13.1%
Forecast: 5.0%
Actual: -
Period: Dec

The number of new building projects authorized for construction. The figure is widely used as an indicator for developments in the housing market, since receiving a permit to build is the first step in the construction process. Thus growth in Building Permits reflects growth in the construction sector. Also, due to the high outlays needed for construction projects, an increase in Building Permits suggests corporate and consumer optimism. Additionally, because leading indicators for the housing market respond quickly to changes in the business cycle, the Building Permit figure can act as a leading indicator for the economy as a whole.

The headline is the seasonally adjusted percentage change in Building Permits from the previous month.

Feb, 11 15:30
★★
Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories
Country:
Date: Feb, 11 15:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: -3455K
Forecast: -200K
Actual: -
Period: Feb

The actual inventories of crude oil, gasoline, and distillate, such as jet fuel, as reported on a weekly basis. The numbers are watched closely by the energy markets, and if the results differ greatly from the expected inventory levels, the market can react strongly. The inventory data can be skewed by holidays and seasonal factors. Weekly data can be unreliable and should be viewed as a part of longer-term trends, so a four-week moving average may be more useful.

Feb, 11 18:01
10-y Bond Auction
10-y Bond Auction
Country:
Date: Feb, 11 18:01
Importance: Low
Previous: 4.17%; 2.6
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Feb
10-y Bond Auction is a leading market demand and profitability indicator. Profit falls compared to the previous auctions generally have a favourable influence on the currency.
Feb, 11 19:00
Federal Budget Balance
Federal Budget Balance
Country:
Date: Feb, 11 19:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -144.7
Forecast: -92.3
Actual: -
Period: Jan

This is a report which measures the difference in value between the federal government's income and spending during the previous month.

Feb, 11 23:50
Domestic Corporate Goods Price Index
Domestic Corporate Goods Price Index
Country:
Date: Feb, 11 23:50
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.1%; 2.4%
Forecast: ; 2.3%
Actual: -
Period: Jan

A Japanese index that measures the prices of goods created by firms at the producer and wholesaler level in Japan. The Domestic Corporate Goods Price Index (CGPI) tracks changes in supply side prices within the Japanese economy. Changes in the CGPI often precede changes in the overall Consumer Price Index, as input values determine the overall retail values of the consumer goods. Thus, a large increase in the domestic CGPI will lead to a large increase in the overall CPI.

Feb, 12 00:00
Consumer Inflation Expectation
Consumer Inflation Expectation
Country:
Date: Feb, 12 00:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 4.6%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Jan

The percent by which, according to consumers expectations, the prices for goods and services will change over the next 12 months.

Feb, 12 00:01
RICS House Price Balance
RICS House Price Balance
Country:
Date: Feb, 12 00:01
Importance: Low
Previous: -14%
Forecast: -11%
Actual: -
Period: Jan

Gauge for costs of homes in the United Kingdom. The figure is based on surveyors' opinions on the state of the market, calculated as is the percent of surveyors reporting a rise in prices minus those reporting a fall. A rise in house prices indicates a strong housing market, which generally reflects a strong overall economy.

Feb, 12 07:00
★★★
GDP
GDP
Country:
Date: Feb, 12 07:00
Importance: High
Previous: 0.3%; 0.1%
Forecast: 0.1%
Actual: -
Period: Dec

The Gross Domestic Product is a comprehensive measure of an overall production and consumption of goods and services. GDP serves as one of the primary measures of overall economic well-being. While GDP announcements generally conform to expectations, unanticipated changes in this metric can move markets.

Robust GDP growth signals a heightened level of economic activity and often a higher demand for the domestic currency. At the same time, economic expansion raises concerns about inflationary pressures which may lead monetary authorities to increase interest rates. Thus better than expected GDP figures are generally bullish for the Euro, while negative readings are generally bearish.

Technically, Gross Domestic Product is calculated in the following way:

GDP = C + I + G + (EX - IM)

where

C = private consumption, I = private investment, G = government expenditure, EX = exports of goods and services, IM = imports of goods and services.

French GDP figures, officially called Quarterly National Accounts, are released quarterly. The headline figures are annualized percentage changes in real and nominal GDP.

Feb, 12 07:00
★★★
GDP
GDP
Country:
Date: Feb, 12 07:00
Importance: High
Previous: 0.1%; 1.3%
Forecast: 0.2%
Actual: -
Period: 4 quarter

The Gross Domestic Product is a comprehensive measure of an overall production and consumption of goods and services. GDP serves as one of the primary measures of overall economic well-being. While GDP announcements generally conform to expectations, unanticipated changes in this metric can move markets.

Robust GDP growth signals a heightened level of economic activity and often a higher demand for the domestic currency. At the same time, economic expansion raises concerns about inflationary pressures which may lead monetary authorities to increase interest rates. Thus better than expected GDP figures are generally bullish for the Euro, while negative readings are generally bearish.

Technically, Gross Domestic Product is calculated in the following way:

GDP = C + I + G + (EX - IM)

where

C = private consumption, I = private investment, G = government expenditure, EX = exports of goods and services, IM = imports of goods and services.

French GDP figures, officially called Quarterly National Accounts, are released quarterly. The headline figures are annualized percentage changes in real and nominal GDP.

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