Date
GMT+01:00
Event
Oct, 16 05:30
Tertiary Industry Index
Tertiary Industry Index
Country:
Date: Oct, 16 05:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.5%
Forecast: -0.2%
Actual: -
Period: Aug

Evaluates the monthly change in output produced by Japan's service sector. Because this report excludes manufacturing and only measures service industries catering mainly to domestic needs, the Tertiary Industry Index is a key indicator of domestic activity. The index incorporates data from firms involved in wholesale and retail trade, financial services, health care, real estate, leisure and utilities. The report excludes industrial manufacturing sectors that tend to be influenced by foreign demand. The tertiary industry index is posted monthly as a percentage change from the previous month's figure.

Oct, 16 07:00
★★★
GDP
GDP
Country:
Date: Oct, 16 07:00
Importance: High
Previous: 0.0%; 0.2%
Forecast: 0.1%; 0.3%
Actual: -
Period: Aug

The Gross Domestic Product is a comprehensive measure of an overall production and consumption of goods and services. GDP serves as one of the primary measures of overall economic well-being. While GDP announcements generally conform to expectations, unanticipated changes in this metric can move markets.

Robust GDP growth signals a heightened level of economic activity and often a higher demand for the domestic currency. At the same time, economic expansion raises concerns about inflationary pressures which may lead monetary authorities to increase interest rates. Thus better than expected GDP figures are generally bullish for the Euro, while negative readings are generally bearish.

Technically, Gross Domestic Product is calculated in the following way:

GDP = C + I + G + (EX - IM)

where

C = private consumption, I = private investment, G = government expenditure, EX = exports of goods and services, IM = imports of goods and services.

French GDP figures, officially called Quarterly National Accounts, are released quarterly. The headline figures are annualized percentage changes in real and nominal GDP.

Oct, 16 07:00
★★
Industrial Production
Industrial Production
Country:
Date: Oct, 16 07:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: -0.9%; 0.1%
Forecast: 0.2%; -0.6%
Actual: -
Period: Aug

A measure of the manufacturing output of the energy sector, factories, and mines. Industrial production is significant as a short-term indicator of the strength of UK industrial activity. Industry accounts for about a quarter of the overall GDP. Because industrial production accounts for most of the volatility in the GDP, foreknowledge of trends in manufacturing go a long way in forecasting UK output. High or rising Industrial Production figures suggest increased production and economic expansion, healthy for the Pound. However, uncontrolled levels of production and consumption can spark inflation. In times of inflation the Bank of England may raise interest rates to control growth.

Oct, 16 07:00
★★
Manufacturing Production
Manufacturing Production
Country:
Date: Oct, 16 07:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: -1.3%; 0.2%
Forecast: 0.4%; -1.0%
Actual: -
Period: Aug

The UK Manufacturing Production index is compiled by the National Statistics Office and measures the level of manufacturing output. It is an important indicator since it measures growth in the country’s manufacturing industry which is a major component of Gross Domestic Product. A low reading is considered bearish for the Sterling.

Oct, 16 07:00
★★
Goods Trade Balance
Goods Trade Balance
Country:
Date: Oct, 16 07:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: -22.2
Forecast: -21.8
Actual: -
Period: Aug
Since July 2015, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis has started publishing preliminary estimate of goods trade balance. This release will be 4-7 earlier than trade balance data. Growth in the reading favors the US dollar.
Oct, 16 07:00
Construction Output
Construction Output
Country:
Date: Oct, 16 07:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.2%; 2.4%
Forecast: -0.2%
Actual: -
Period: Aug

Index demonstrates the situation in the construction sector; it shows output of products and business activity sizes in this sigment of economy.

Oct, 16 07:00
Index of Services
Index of Services
Country:
Date: Oct, 16 07:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.4%; 0.1%
Forecast: 0.4%
Actual: -
Period: Aug

The index tracks activity in services sector.

Oct, 16 08:00
SECO Economic Forecasts
SECO Economic Forecasts
Country:
Date: Oct, 16 08:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -

The State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECO) “is the federal government's centre of expertise for all core issues relating to economic policy. Its aim is to ensure sustainable economic growth by putting in place the necessary regulatory and economic policy conditions.” - Source www.seco.admin.ch

SECO Economic Forecasts are released quarterly and include expectations for GDP and its components such as: consumption expenditure (personal and government), construction investment, investment in equipment and software, exports, imports, employment (full time equivalent), rate of unemployment and the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

Oct, 16 09:00
Gross Domestic Product
Gross Domestic Product
Country:
Date: Oct, 16 09:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -0.2%; 1.6%
Forecast: -0.2%; 1.6%
Actual: -
Period: Sep

The Gross Domestic Product is a comprehensive measure of an overall production and consumption of goods and services. GDP serves as one of the primary measures of overall economic well-being. GDP announcements generally conform to expectations as the number comes out after most production figures that lead to overall GDP have already been released. Although releases that are out of line with expectations are rare, unanticipated GDP growth can move markets simply because of its significance as an economic indicator.

Oct, 16 09:30
BoE Credit Conditions Survey
BoE Credit Conditions Survey
Country:
Date: Oct, 16 09:30
Importance: Low
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: 3 quarter

As part of its mission to maintain monetary stability and financial stability, the Bank needs to understand trends and developments in credit conditions. This survey for bank and non-bank lenders is an input to this work. Lenders are asked about the past three months and the coming three months. The survey covers secured and unsecured lending to households and small businesses; and lending to non-financial corporations, and to non-bank financial firms.

Oct, 16 09:45
10-y Bond Auction
10-y Bond Auction
Country:
Date: Oct, 16 09:45
Importance: Low
Previous: 3.23%; 1.9
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Oct
10-y Bond Auction is a leading market demand and profitability indicator. Profit falls compared to the previous auctions generally have a favourable influence on the currency.
Oct, 16 10:00
Trade Balance
Trade Balance
Country:
Date: Oct, 16 10:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 7.91
Forecast: 8.94
Actual: -
Period: Aug

A country's trade balance reflects the difference between exports and imports of goods and services. The trade balance is one of the biggest components of the Balance of Payment, giving valuable insight into pressures on country's currency.

Surpluses and Deficits
A positive Trade Balance (surplus) indicates that exports are greater than imports. When imports exceed exports, the country experiences a trade deficit. Because foreign goods are usually purchased using foreign currency, trade deficits usually reflect currency leaking out of the country. Such currency outflows may lead to a natural depreciation unless countered by comparable capital inflows (inflows in the form of investments, FDI - where foreigners investing in local equity, bond or real estates markets). At a bare minimum, deficits fundamentally weigh down the value of the currency.

Ramifications of Trade Balance on Markets
There are a number of factors that work to diminish the market impact of Trade Balance upon immediate release. The report is not very timely, coming some time after the reporting period. Developments in many of the figure's components are also typically anticipated well beforehand. Lastly, since the report reflects data for a specific reporting month or quarter, any significant changes in the Trade Balance should plausibly have already been felt during that period - and not during the release of data.

However, because of the overall significance of Trade Balance data in forecasting trends in the Forex Market, the release has historically been one of the most important reports out of the any country.

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