Date
GMT+00:00
Event
Feb, 16 04:30
Industrial Production
Industrial Production
Country:
Date: Feb, 16 04:30
Importance: Low
Previous: -0.1%; 2.6%
Forecast: -0.1%; 2.6%
Actual: -
Period: Dec

Measures the per volume change in output from mining, quarrying, manufacturing, energy and construction sectors in Japan. Industrial production is significant as a short-term indicator of the strength of Japanese industrial activity. High or rising Industrial Production figures suggest increased production and economic expansion. However, uncontrolled levels of production and consumption can spark inflation.

The report is only a preliminary estimate figure that does not move the markets much. The figure is released in headlines as a monthly percent change.

Feb, 16 10:00
Industrial Production
Industrial Production
Country:
Date: Feb, 16 10:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.7%; 2.5%
Forecast: -1.5%
Actual: -
Period: Dec

Measures the volume change of output of the manufacturing and energy sector. The industrial sector contributes to only a quarter of the Eurozone GDP. However, most variations in the GDP come from the industrial sector, whereas other sectors that contribute far more to national output historically have been very consistent regardless of economic cycles. That is why tracking industrial production is very important for forecasting GDP changes.

Note: The Industrial Production figure can be adjusted for the number of working days in the given time period and/or seasonally to account for weather related changes in production.

Feb, 16 13:15
Housing Starts
Housing Starts
Country:
Date: Feb, 16 13:15
Importance: Low
Previous: 282.4K
Forecast: 266.0K
Actual: -
Period: Jan

Reflects the rate of growth in housing construction. Housing Starts act as an indicator measuring the strength of Canada's construction sector and housing market. Economists also use the figure as a leading indicator for the economy as a whole due to Housing Starts' sensitivity to changes in the business cycle. Housing Starts slow at the onset of a recession and quickly grow at the beginning of an economic boom; consequently, a high Housing Starts figure forecasts strong economic growth.

The headline figure is the percentage change in new home starts.

Feb, 16 13:30
Manufacturing Shipments
Manufacturing Shipments
Country:
Date: Feb, 16 13:30
Importance: Low
Previous: -1.2%
Forecast: 0.5%
Actual: -
Period: Dec

CManufacturing Shipments - also known as "shipments of goods of own manufacture" - report the production of goods produced by Canadian establishments in the "Manufacturing Sector (NAICS 31-33)". It measures the Dollar value, not the quantity of manufactured goods produced.

Feb, 16 21:45
Food Price
Food Price
Country:
Date: Feb, 16 21:45
Importance: Low
Previous: -0.3%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Jan

Measures the price change of food and food services purchased by households. Higher food prices can result in economic slowdown because less disposable income will be used for non-food expenditures. Higher food prices can also result in inflation and signal future monetary action.

Higher domestic food prices may also suggest higher food prices internationally. New Zealand 's economy is largely based on producing and exporting agricultural goods and food products. Therefore, the Food Price Index can reflect demand for New Zealand products and for the New Zealand dollar. A higher reading may suggest a strengthening of the Dollar as foreigners pay relatively more for New Zealand 's exports.

The headline number is the percentage change in the index from the previous month.

Feb, 17 00:30
★★
Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
Country:
Date: Feb, 17 00:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -
It's a detailed record of the RBA Reserve Bank Board's most recent meeting, providing in-depth insights into the economic conditions that influenced their decision on where to set interest rates.
Feb, 17 04:30
Tertiary Industry Index
Tertiary Industry Index
Country:
Date: Feb, 17 04:30
Importance: Low
Previous: -0.2%
Forecast: -0.3%
Actual: -
Period: Dec

Evaluates the monthly change in output produced by Japan's service sector. Because this report excludes manufacturing and only measures service industries catering mainly to domestic needs, the Tertiary Industry Index is a key indicator of domestic activity. The index incorporates data from firms involved in wholesale and retail trade, financial services, health care, real estate, leisure and utilities. The report excludes industrial manufacturing sectors that tend to be influenced by foreign demand. The tertiary industry index is posted monthly as a percentage change from the previous month's figure.

Feb, 17 07:00
★★
Claimant Count Change
Claimant Count Change
Country:
Date: Feb, 17 07:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 17.9K
Forecast: 22.8K
Actual: -
Period: Jan

The UK claimant count provides data on those individuals who are out of work and who are claiming some sort of unemployment benefit.

Feb, 17 07:00
★★
Claimant Count Rate
Claimant Count Rate
Country:
Date: Feb, 17 07:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 5.1%
Forecast: 5.1%
Actual: -
Period: Dec

The Claimant Count is the UK's most timely measure of unemployment. The report measures the number of people who claim unemployment benefits, but actively seeking work. The Claimant Count serves as a barometer for the health of the UK labor market. Higher job growth accompanies economic expansion and could spark inflationary pressures.

The headline number is a percentage change in the figure.

Feb, 17 07:00
★★
Average Earnings Index
Average Earnings Index
Country:
Date: Feb, 17 07:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 4.7%; 4.5%
Forecast: 4.6%
Actual: -
Period: Dec
It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when businesses pay more for labor the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer. Data represents the 3-month moving average compared to the same period a year earlier. A figure that excludes bonuses is also released, but not included for lack of significance. Source changed series calculation formula as of Jan 2010
Feb, 17 07:00
CPI
CPI
Country:
Date: Feb, 17 07:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.1%; 2.1%
Forecast: 0.1%; 2.1%
Actual: -
Period: Jan

Assesses changes in the cost of living by measuring changes in the prices of consumer items. The CPI is the headline inflation figure that indicates the strength of domestic inflationary pressures. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Euro in Germany , where each Euro buys fewer goods and services. CPI is the most popular way to measure changes in purchasing power. The report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical German household might purchase. An increase in the index indicates that it takes more Euros to purchase this same set of basic consumer items.

The German CPI is significant as one of the primary gauges of inflation. As the largest Eurozone economy, inflation in Germany will contribute significantly to inflation in the Eurozone and the behavior of the European Central Bank. High or rising inflation acts as a signal to the ECB to raise interest rates, an action which will result in the strengthening of the Euro. The headline figure for CPI is the percentage change in monthly and annualized percentage term.

Feb, 17 09:00
Trade Balance
Trade Balance
Country:
Date: Feb, 17 09:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 5.08
Forecast: 4.75
Actual: -
Period: Dec

A country's trade balance reflects the difference between exports and imports of goods and services. The trade balance is one of the biggest components of the Balance of Payment, giving valuable insight into pressures on country's currency.

Surpluses and Deficits
A positive Trade Balance (surplus) indicates that exports are greater than imports. When imports exceed exports, the country experiences a trade deficit. Because foreign goods are usually purchased using foreign currency, trade deficits usually reflect currency leaking out of the country. Such currency outflows may lead to a natural depreciation unless countered by comparable capital inflows (inflows in the form of investments, FDI - where foreigners investing in local equity, bond or real estates markets). At a bare minimum, deficits fundamentally weigh down the value of the currency.

Ramifications of Trade Balance on Markets
There are a number of factors that work to diminish the market impact of Trade Balance upon immediate release. The report is not very timely, coming some time after the reporting period. Developments in many of the figure's components are also typically anticipated well beforehand. Lastly, since the report reflects data for a specific reporting month or quarter, any significant changes in the Trade Balance should plausibly have already been felt during that period - and not during the release of data.

However, because of the overall significance of Trade Balance data in forecasting trends in the Forex Market, the release has historically been one of the most important reports out of the any country.

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