Date
GMT+01:00
Event
May, 18 03:00
★★
Fixed Asset Investment
Fixed Asset Investment
Country:
Date: May, 18 03:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 1.7%
Forecast: 1.7%
Actual: -
Period: Apr

Fixed asset investment, or FAI, is a measure of capital spending. It refers to any investment within the measurement period in physical assets, such as real estate infrastructure, machinery, etc. that are held for more than one year. FAI can be a good indicator for how much investment is occurring in a country or region, but it is not a direct contributor to GDP.

May, 18 03:00
★★
Industrial production
Industrial production
Country:
Date: May, 18 03:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 5.7%; 6.1%
Forecast: 6.0%
Actual: -
Period: Apr

Measures the volume change of output of the manufacturing and energy sector.

May, 18 03:00
Retail Sales
Retail Sales
Country:
Date: May, 18 03:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 1.7%; 2.4%
Forecast: 2.0%
Actual: -
Period: Apr

Gauge for goods sold at retail outlets in the past month. Retail Sales is a leading indicator for the economy. Rising consumer spending fuels economic growth, confirms signals from consumer confidence, and may spark inflationary pressures.

The headline figure is expressed as the percentage change from the same month last year.

May, 18 03:00
Unemployment Rate
Unemployment Rate
Country:
Date: May, 18 03:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 5.4%
Forecast: 5.3%
Actual: -
Period: Apr

The percentage of individuals in the labor force who are without a job but actively seeking one. A higher Unemployment Rate is generally a drain on the economy. Not only does it mean that resources are not being fully utilized, but it also results in lower consumer spending as there are fewer workers receiving paychecks.

Note: The unemployment rate generally moves slowly, so changes of only a few tenths of a percent are still considered significant. Also note that the unemployment rate does not account for discouraged workers. Therefore, in an economically depressed environment, such as that which occurred in Cold War era East Germany, the Unemployment Rate may not accurately reflect the extent of problems.

May, 18 03:00
★★
NBS Press Conference
NBS Press Conference
Country:
Date: May, 18 03:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -
NBS Press Conference is a media event in which newsmakers invite journalists to hear them speak and, most often, ask questions. Answers can cause a stir in the market.
May, 18 09:00
Trade Balance
Trade Balance
Country:
Date: May, 18 09:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 4.94
Forecast: 5.25
Actual: -
Period: Mar

A country's trade balance reflects the difference between exports and imports of goods and services. The trade balance is one of the biggest components of the Balance of Payment, giving valuable insight into pressures on country's currency.

Surpluses and Deficits
A positive Trade Balance (surplus) indicates that exports are greater than imports. When imports exceed exports, the country experiences a trade deficit. Because foreign goods are usually purchased using foreign currency, trade deficits usually reflect currency leaking out of the country. Such currency outflows may lead to a natural depreciation unless countered by comparable capital inflows (inflows in the form of investments, FDI - where foreigners investing in local equity, bond or real estates markets). At a bare minimum, deficits fundamentally weigh down the value of the currency.

Ramifications of Trade Balance on Markets
There are a number of factors that work to diminish the market impact of Trade Balance upon immediate release. The report is not very timely, coming some time after the reporting period. Developments in many of the figure's components are also typically anticipated well beforehand. Lastly, since the report reflects data for a specific reporting month or quarter, any significant changes in the Trade Balance should plausibly have already been felt during that period - and not during the release of data.

However, because of the overall significance of Trade Balance data in forecasting trends in the Forex Market, the release has historically been one of the most important reports out of the any country.

May, 18 15:00
NAHB Housing Market Index
NAHB Housing Market Index
Country:
Date: May, 18 15:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 34
Forecast: 34
Actual: -
Period: May

A timely gauge of home sales and expectations for future home building. Based on a small sample of homebuilders, the Housing Market Index is a timely indicator of future US home sales. However, as the index is not as comprehensive as formal housing reports like new home sales or MBA mortgage applications, the index acts more like a supplemental indicator for predicting housing trends.

As such, the NAHB Housing Market Index is still able to provide general insight to where the housing market is heading. Given that new home sales reflect 'big ticket' items that require construction and investment, the housing market is often viewed as an indicator of the direction of the economy as a whole. Growth in the housing market will spur subsequent spending, generating demand for goods and services and the employees who provide them.

The report headline is expressed in percentage change from the previous month. The NAHB Housing Market Index divides the Single-Family Sales data into three categories: Present, Next 6 Months and Prospective Buyers Traffic.

May, 18 21:00
TICS
TICS
Country:
Date: May, 18 21:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 58.6
Forecast: 82.4
Actual: -
Period: Mar

Measures Capital Flow into U.S. Denominated Assets. Summarizes the flow of stocks, bonds and money market funds to and from the United States. The headline figure is the difference in value between American purchases of foreign securities and foreign purchases of American securities, expressed in millions of dollars. The Treasury International Capital or TIC statement is a major component of the American capital account and gives valuable insight into foreign demand for American investments and dollar.

A positive figure indicates that more capital is entering the US than leaving as sales of American securities to foreigners exceed American purchases of foreign securities. Such positive figures suggest that American security markets are competitive with those of other countries. Foreign security purchases are especially important in the case of a trade deficit, as a positive figure can offset the depreciating effect of a trade shortfall. On the contrary, a negative or declining TICS figure reflects a declining capital flow picture. Outflows are indicative of weaker demand for US assets which puts downward pressure on the value of the dollar.

A key feature of the TIC data is its measurement of the types of investors the dollar has; governments and private investors. Usually, a strong government holding of dollar denominated assets signals growing dollar optimism as it shows that governments are confident in the stability of the US dollar. Most importantly seems to be the purchases of Asian central banks such as that of Japan and China. Waning demand by these two behemoth US Treasury holders could be bearish for the US dollar. As for absolute amount of foreign purchases, the market generally likes to see purchases be much stronger than the funding needs of that same month's trade deficit. If it is not, it signals that there is not enough dollars coming in to match dollar going out of the country.

May, 18 23:45
Producer Price Index
Producer Price Index
Country:
Date: May, 18 23:45
Importance: Low
Previous: -0.5%; 0.1%
Forecast: 0.8%; 0.5%
Actual: -
Period: 1 quarter
In New Zealand, the Producer Price Index measures the average change in price of goods and services sold by manufacturers and producers in the wholesale market during a given period.
May, 19 00:50
★★★
Gross Domestic Product
Gross Domestic Product
Country:
Date: May, 19 00:50
Importance: High
Previous: 0.3%; 1.3%
Forecast: 0.4%
Actual: -
Period: 1 quarter

A comprehensive measure of Japan's overall production and consumption of goods and services. GDP is a significant report in FX Market, serving as one of the primary indicators of a country\\\'s overall economic health.

Robust GDP growth signals a heightened level of economic activity and often a higher demand for the domestic currency. At the same time, economic expansion raises concerns about inflationary pressures which may prompt monetary authorities to increase interest rates. Thus positive GDP readings are generally bullish for the Yen, while negative readings are generally bearish.

Most production reports that lead to Japanese GDP are released before the official GDP number. Therefore, actual GDP figures usually confirm expectations. However, an unexpected release can move markets due to the significance of the figure.

Technically, Gross Domestic Product is calculated in the following way:

GDP = C + I + G + (EX - IM)

where
C = private consumption
I = private investment
G = government expenditure
EX = exports of goods and services
IM = imports of goods and services

The headline figures for GDP are the percentage growth rate from the previous quarter and the annualized percentage change in GDP. Prices used are benchmarked to 1997 prices.

May, 19 00:50
★★
GDP Deflator
GDP Deflator
Country:
Date: May, 19 00:50
Importance: Medium
Previous: 3.4%
Forecast: 3.1%
Actual: -
Period: 1 quarter

Broad gauge of inflationary pressures. The GDP Deflator is different from the Consumer Price Index in that it does not take into account changes in the prices of imports and tends to underestimate price changes. The Gross Domestic Product Deflator is also untimely, released quarterly about two months after the reporting period. Nonetheless, it is highly correlated with the CPI and a key indicator of inflation. Consequently, the deflator provides insight into the future direction of monetary policy as the Bank of Japan is inclined to raise interest rates when faced with higher inflation.

Specifically the deflator measures the magnitude of changes in prices for all domestically produced final goods. It is the ratio of output in current prices (nominal GDP) to inflation-adjusted output (real GDP). The headline value is the percentage change in the GDP Deflator from the previous quarter.

May, 19 01:30
Westpac Consumer Sentiment
Westpac Consumer Sentiment
Country:
Date: May, 19 01:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 80.1; -12.5%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: May

Consumer Sentiment (or Consumer Confidence) measures the level of confidence households have in economic performance. Generally rising consumer confidence acts as a precursor to higher consumer expenditures which drive economic expansion.

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