Date
GMT+00:00
Event
Feb, 20 18:00
Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count
Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count
Country:
Date: Feb, 20 18:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 551
Forecast: -
Actual: 551
Period: Feb
The Baker Hughes rig count is an important business barometer for the oil drilling industry. When drilling rigs are active they consume products and services produced by the oil service industry. The active rig count acts as a leading indicator of demand for oil products.
Feb, 20 15:00
UoM Inflation Expectations
UoM Inflation Expectations
Country:
Date: Feb, 20 15:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 3.5%; 3.4%
Forecast: 3.5%; 3.4%
Actual: 3.4%; 3.3%
Period: Feb
The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index released by the University of Michigan is a survey of personal consumer confidence in economic activity. It shows a picture of whether or not consumers are willing to spend money. Generally speaking, a high reading anticipates positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
Feb, 20 15:00
★★
New Home Sales
New Home Sales
Country:
Date: Feb, 20 15:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 758K; 2.8%
Forecast: 732K
Actual: 745K; -1.7%
Period: Dec

Records sales of newly constructed residences in the United States. The figure is a timely gauge of housing market conditions counting home sales when initial housing contracts are signed. Because New Home Sales usually trigger a sequence of consumption, they have significant market impact upon release. In addition to the high expenditure of the new home, buyers are likely to spend more money on furnishing customizing and financing their home. Consequently, growth in the housing market spurs more consumption, generating demand for goods, services and the employees who provide them.

Generally, the housing market is tracked by a number of reports that mark different stages of the construction and home sale process. The first stage is Building Permits, which precede Housing Starts, which lead to Construction Spending, MBA Mortgage Applications and, finally, New Home Sales and Existing Home Sales. As the headline housing figure, New Home Sales are believed to control some of the volatility of other data. For instance, Building Permits and Housing Starts are considered more indicative of business confidence and production rather than consumer spending. And while Existing Home Sales figures are more indicative of consumer expenditures, they are lagging indicators with less predictive value. New Home Sales numbers are considered confirmatory of housing trends and still predictive of consumer spending.

New Home Sales is also a good indicator of economic turning points due to its sensitivity to consumer income. Buying a house is always a major expenditure, typically only undertaken when consumers have sufficient savings or are optimistic about future earnings. Historically, when economic conditions slow, New Home Sales are one of the first indicators to reflect the change. By the same token, New Home Sales undergo substantial growth when the economy has emerged from recession and wages have begun to pick up.

The report headline is the total amount of properties sold.

Feb, 20 14:45
FOMC Member Raphael W. Bostic Speaks
FOMC Member Raphael W. Bostic Speaks
Country:
Date: Feb, 20 14:45
Importance: Low
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic - FOMC voting member 2018. Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy. More hawkish than expected is good for currency.
Feb, 20 14:45
★★
Composite PMI
Composite PMI
Country:
Date: Feb, 20 14:45
Importance: Medium
Previous: 53.0
Forecast: 53.1
Actual: 52.3
Period: Feb
An index level of 50 denotes no change since the previous month, while a level above 50 signals an increase or improvement, and below 50 indicates a decrease or deterioration.
Feb, 20 14:45
★★
Final Services PMI
Final Services PMI
Country:
Date: Feb, 20 14:45
Importance: Medium
Previous: 52.7
Forecast: 53.0
Actual: 52.3
Period: Feb
It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy. Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Flash release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact.
Feb, 20 14:45
★★
ISM Manufacturing
ISM Manufacturing
Country:
Date: Feb, 20 14:45
Importance: Medium
Previous: 52.4
Forecast: 52.6
Actual: 51.2
Period: Feb

A monthly index released by the Institute of Supply Management which tracks the amount of manufacturing activity that occurred in the previous month.ISM Manufacuring assesses the state of US industry by surveying executives on expectations for future production, new orders, inventories, employment and deliveries. This data is considered a very important and trusted economic measure. If the index has a value below 50, due to a decrease in activity, it tends to indicate an economic recession, especially if the trend continues over several months. A value substantially above 50 likely indicates a time of economic growth. The values for the index can be between 0 and 100.

Values over 50 generally indicate an expansion, while values below 50 indicate contraction.

Feb, 20 13:30
Raw Materials Price Index
Raw Materials Price Index
Country:
Date: Feb, 20 13:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.3%
Forecast: 0.6%
Actual: 7.7%
Period: Jan

Measures the prices paid by Canadian manufacturers for key raw materials, including resources not produced in Canada. Also known as the Producer Price Index, the RMPI is an early measure of inflation. Although producers may not pass on changes in raw material prices to consumers immediately, the index will record these cost pressures before they reach the end consumer and affect inflation rates. The headline figure is the percentage change in the price index from the previous month and year.

The index includes prices for raw materials like mineral fuels, vegetable products, animal and animal products, wood, ferrous materials, non-ferrous metals, and non-metallic minerals.
 

Feb, 20 13:30
Industrial Product Price Index
Industrial Product Price Index
Country:
Date: Feb, 20 13:30
Importance: Low
Previous: -0.9%
Forecast: 0.2%
Actual: 2.7%
Period: Jan

Industrial Product Price Index released by the Statistics Canada measures price changes for major commodities sold by Canadian manufactures. Changes in the IPP index are widely followed as an indicator of commodity inflation.

Feb, 20 13:30
★★
Retail Sales
Retail Sales
Country:
Date: Feb, 20 13:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 1.2%; 1.6%
Forecast: -0.5%; -0.1%
Actual: -0.4%; 0.1%
Period: Dec

Gauge for goods sold at retail outlets in the past month. Retail Sales is a leading indicator for the economy. Rising consumer spending fuels economic growth, confirms signals from consumer confidence, and may spark inflationary pressures.

The headline figure is expressed as the percentage change from the same month last year.

Feb, 20 13:30
Personal Income
Personal Income
Country:
Date: Feb, 20 13:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.3%
Forecast: 0.3%
Actual: 0.3%
Period: Dec

Broad gauge of employee earnings in the US . Personal Income measures the pre-tax income households receive from employment, investments, and transfer payments. As wages and salaries make up the majority of Personal Income, the figure can provide insight on the US employment situation. However, because Personal Income is released after the headline employment figure and earnings figures, its impact on the market is muted. The figure is still useful in gauging the purchasing ability of consumers, though, as rising Personal Income allows for strong consumers spending. Such spending drives output growth and fuels the US economy.

Feb, 20 13:30
★★
Personal Spending
Personal Spending
Country:
Date: Feb, 20 13:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 0.5%
Forecast: 0.4%
Actual: 0.4%
Period: Dec

Comprehensive measure of how much consumers spend each month, counting expenditures on durable goods, consumer products, and services. Personal Consumption is a comprehensive measure of GDP; consequently the figure is watched as an indicator for economic trends. Spending also has direct affect on inflationary pressures.

A healthy Personal Spending figure means that consumers are buying goods and services, fueling the economy and spurring output growth. The report is particularly valued for forecasting inflationary pressures. Taken in excess these high levels of consumption and production may lead to an overall increase in prices. Indeed, the Fed uses a measure of inflation derived from the PCE as their primary gauge of inflation.

On the other hand, persistently low Personal Spending may result in decreasing levels of output and an economic downturn.

Because income is either spent or saved, Personal Spending (when reported as a percent of income rather than the headline percent change) has an inverse relationship to personal saving. Economists watch the growth of Personal Spending in relation to income and saving to determine if consumers are living beyond their means, which would influence levels of borrowing and future consumption.

The PCE figure is released in headlines as a percent change from the previous month.

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