Date
GMT+00:00
Event
Nov, 20 07:00
PPI
PPI
Country:
Date: Nov, 20 07:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -0.1%; -1.7%
Forecast: 0.0%; -1.9%
Actual: -
Period: Oct

Measures changes in the selling prices producers charge for goods and services, and well as tracks how prices feed through the production process. Because producers tend to pass on higher costs to consumers as higher retail prices, the PPI is valuable as an early indicator of inflation. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Dollar, where each dollar buys fewer goods and services. The report also gives insight into how higher prices from raw materials flow toward the final product.

A rise in PPI signals an increase in inflationary pressures. Given the economic instability associated with rising price levels, the Fed often will raise interest rates to check inflation. A low or falling PPI is indicative of declining prices, and may suggest an economic slowdown.

The headline figure is expressed in percentage change of producer price.

Notes: The PPI records prices at various stages of production: raw goods, intermediate goods and finished goods. Though intermediate and crude goods prices do provide insight for future inflationary pressure, it is the price of finished goods that generates most interest for market participants. The finished goods data is able to gauge price pressure before the goods reach the retail market.

Nov, 20 07:00
Trade Balance
Trade Balance
Country:
Date: Nov, 20 07:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 4.07
Forecast: 4.90
Actual: -
Period: Oct

A country's trade balance reflects the difference between exports and imports of goods and services. The trade balance is one of the biggest components of the Balance of Payment, giving valuable insight into pressures on country's currency.

Surpluses and Deficits
A positive Trade Balance (surplus) indicates that exports are greater than imports. When imports exceed exports, the country experiences a trade deficit. Because foreign goods are usually purchased using foreign currency, trade deficits usually reflect currency leaking out of the country. Such currency outflows may lead to a natural depreciation unless countered by comparable capital inflows (inflows in the form of investments, FDI - where foreigners investing in local equity, bond or real estates markets). At a bare minimum, deficits fundamentally weigh down the value of the currency.

Ramifications of Trade Balance on Markets
There are a number of factors that work to diminish the market impact of Trade Balance upon immediate release. The report is not very timely, coming some time after the reporting period. Developments in many of the figure's components are also typically anticipated well beforehand. Lastly, since the report reflects data for a specific reporting month or quarter, any significant changes in the Trade Balance should plausibly have already been felt during that period - and not during the release of data.

However, because of the overall significance of Trade Balance data in forecasting trends in the Forex Market, the release has historically been one of the most important reports out of the any country.

Nov, 20 09:59
10-y Bond Auction
10-y Bond Auction
Country:
Date: Nov, 20 09:59
Importance: Low
Previous: 3.43%; 2.1
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Nov
10-y Bond Auction is a leading market demand and profitability indicator. Profit falls compared to the previous auctions generally have a favourable influence on the currency.
Nov, 20 11:00
CBI industrial order books balance
CBI industrial order books balance
Country:
Date: Nov, 20 11:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -38
Forecast: -30
Actual: -
Period: Nov

This review reflects businessmen sentiment concerning the position of the industrial sector of the economy.

Nov, 20 11:00
Bundesbank Monthly Report
Bundesbank Monthly Report
Country:
Date: Nov, 20 11:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -

Market impact tends to be greater when the report reveals a viewpoint that clashes with the ECB's stance. It contains relevant articles, speeches, statistical tables, and provides detailed analysis of current and future economic conditions from the bank's viewpoint.

Nov, 20 13:30
★★
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
Country:
Date: Nov, 20 13:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: -12.8
Forecast: 1.0
Actual: -
Period: Nov

It is a survey conducted by the Philadelphia Fed questioning manufacturers in the Third Federal Reserve District on general business conditions. Conducted since 1968, the "Philly Fed" survey is an established report, valued for its timeliness, scope of coverage and tendency to forecast developments in the market moving ISM Manufacturing figure.

Higher Philadelphia Fed Survey figures indicate a positive outlook from manufacturers suggesting increased production. Higher production contributes to economic growth, which is generally bullish for the dollar.

Results are calculated as the difference between percentage of positive and negative scores; zero acts as the centerline point.

Nov, 20 13:30
Industrial Product Price Index
Industrial Product Price Index
Country:
Date: Nov, 20 13:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.8%
Forecast: 0.3%
Actual: -
Period: Oct

Industrial Product Price Index released by the Statistics Canada measures price changes for major commodities sold by Canadian manufactures. Changes in the IPP index are widely followed as an indicator of commodity inflation.

Nov, 20 13:30
Raw Materials Price Index
Raw Materials Price Index
Country:
Date: Nov, 20 13:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 1.7%
Forecast: 0.6%
Actual: -
Period: Oct

Measures the prices paid by Canadian manufacturers for key raw materials, including resources not produced in Canada. Also known as the Producer Price Index, the RMPI is an early measure of inflation. Although producers may not pass on changes in raw material prices to consumers immediately, the index will record these cost pressures before they reach the end consumer and affect inflation rates. The headline figure is the percentage change in the price index from the previous month and year.

The index includes prices for raw materials like mineral fuels, vegetable products, animal and animal products, wood, ferrous materials, non-ferrous metals, and non-metallic minerals.
 

Nov, 20 13:30
★★★
Non-Farm Payrolls
Non-Farm Payrolls
Country:
Date: Nov, 20 13:30
Importance: High
Previous: 22K
Forecast: 53K
Actual: -
Period: Sep

One of the most widely anticipated reports on the US economic calendar, the Employment Situation is a timely report that gives a picture of job creation, loss, wages and working hours in the United States. Data in the report relies on the Household Survey and the Establishment (or Payroll) Survey. While the Household Survey is based on the interviews to US households, the Establishment Survey queries business establishments, making it the preferred source of data. The Employment Situation's has many significant figures such as: Change in Non Farm Payrolls, Unemployment, Manufacturing Payrolls, and Average Hourly Earnings.

The headline figures for this report are reported monthly, as the total number of new jobs in thousands (say, 120K new jobs), and the unemployment rate.

Change in Non-farm Payrolls

Monthly change in employment excluding the farming sector. Non-farm payrolls is the most closely watched indicator in the Employment Situation, considered the most comprehensive measure of job creation in the US. Such a distinction makes the NFP figure highly significant, given the importance of labor to the US economy. Specifically, political pressures come into play, as the Fed is responsible for keeping employment in a healthy range and utilizes interest rate changes to do so. A surge in new Non-farm Payrolls suggests rising employment and potential inflation pressures, which the Fed often counters with rate increases. On the other hand, a consistent decline in Non-farm Employment suggests a slowing economy, which makes a decline in rates more likely.

Nov, 20 13:30
★★★
Unemployment Rate
Unemployment Rate
Country:
Date: Nov, 20 13:30
Importance: High
Previous: 4.3%
Forecast: 4.3%
Actual: -
Period: Sep

The percentage of individuals in the labor force who are without a job but actively seeking one. A higher Unemployment Rate is generally a drain on the economy. Not only does it mean that resources are not being fully utilized, but it also results in lower consumer spending as there are fewer workers receiving paychecks.

Note: The unemployment rate generally moves slowly, so changes of only a few tenths of a percent are still considered significant. Also note that the unemployment rate does not account for discouraged workers. Therefore, in an economically depressed environment, such as that which occurred in Cold War era East Germany, the Unemployment Rate may not accurately reflect the extent of problems.

Nov, 20 13:30
★★
Average Hourly Earnings
Average Hourly Earnings
Country:
Date: Nov, 20 13:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 0.3%; 3.7%
Forecast: 0.3%; 3.7%
Actual: -
Period: Sep

An indicator of how the average level of pay is changing. The Average Hourly Earnings figure provides insight into future spending and inflation. A High Average Hourly Earnings bodes well for future consumption, as workers have more disposable income. High figures may indicate inflationary pressures due to employee's additional potential to spend. The figure is either measured in hourly or weekly averages or as a percent change from the previous month.

Nov, 20 13:30
★★
Change in Private Payrolls
Change in Private Payrolls
Country:
Date: Nov, 20 13:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 38K
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Sep

Private Nonfarm Payrolls measures the change in the number of total payrolls in any business, excluding general government employees, private household employees, employees of nonprofit organizations that provide assistance to individuals and farm employees.

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