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Event Previous Forecast Actual
Dec, 12 13:30
★★★
Consumer Price Index Core
Consumer Price Index Core
Country:
Date: Dec, 12 13:30
Importance: High
Previous: 0.2% m/m; 2.1% y/y
Forecast: 0.2% m/m; 2.2% y/y
Actual: -
Period: Nov

CPI Excluding Food and Energy - United States

The CPI is also reported excluding food and energy; two of its most volatile components. These components are particularly sensitive to temporary economic factors like oil prices, natural disasters and seasonal affects. Consequently, CPI excluding Food and Energy provides a more stable figure, but at the cost of overlooking two significant sectors in the economy (together food and energy comprise nearly a quarter of the goods included in the CPI).

The figure is the monthly percent change in the index.

0.2% m/m; 2.1% y/y 0.2% m/m; 2.2% y/y -
Dec, 12 13:30
★★★
Consumer Price Index
Consumer Price Index
Country:
Date: Dec, 12 13:30
Importance: High
Previous: 0.3% m/m; 2.5% y/y
Forecast: 0.0% m/m; 2.2% y/y
Actual: -
Period: Nov

CPI assesses changes in the cost of living by measuring changes consumer pay for a set of items. CPI serves as the headline figure for inflation. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the dollar, where each dollar buys fewer goods and services. In terms of measuring inflation, CPI is the most obvious way to quantify changes in purchasing power. The report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical American household might purchase. An increase in the Consumer Price Index indicates that it takes more dollars to purchase the same set basket of basic consumer items.

Inflation is generally bad news for the economy, causing instability, uncertainty and hardship. To address inflation, the Fed may raise interest rates. However, the Fed relies on the PCE Deflator as its primary gauge of inflation because the CPI does not account for the ability of consumer to substitute out of CPI's set. Price changes tend to cause consumers to switch from buying one good to a less expensive-other, a tendency that the fixed-basket CPI figure does not yet account for. Given that the PCE Deflator is a more comprehensive calculation, based on changes in consumption; it is the figure the Fed prefers.

The figure is released monthly, as either a month over month annualized percentage change, or percentage change for the full year. The figure is seasonally adjusted to account seasonal consumption patterns.

On A Technical Note: The CPI includes over 200 categories of goods and services included, divided into 8 main groups, each with a different weight: Housing, Transportation, Food, Medical Care, Education and Communication, Recreation, Apparel, and Other Goods and Services.

0.3% m/m; 2.5% y/y 0.0% m/m; 2.2% y/y -
Dec, 12 13:30
Capacity utilization
Capacity utilization
Country:
Date: Dec, 12 13:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 85.5%
Forecast: 85.8%
Actual: -
Period: 3 quarter

Capacity Utilization measures the extent to which Canadian manufacturing companies make use of their installed productive capacity (factories and machinery). Capacity Utilization reflects overall growth and demand in the economy, rising when the economy is vibrant, and falling when demand softens. High capacity utilization also exerts inflationary pressures as scarce resources are in higher demand. However, it may also lead to new capital investments, such as new plants, that promote growth in the future.

85.5% 85.8% -
Dec, 12 15:30
★★
Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories
Country:
Date: Dec, 12 15:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: -7323K
Forecast: -3000K
Actual: -
Period: Dec

The actual inventories of crude oil, gasoline, and distillate, such as jet fuel, as reported on a weekly basis. The numbers are watched closely by the energy markets, and if the results differ greatly from the expected inventory levels, the market can react strongly. The inventory data can be skewed by holidays and seasonal factors. Weekly data can be unreliable and should be viewed as a part of longer-term trends, so a four-week moving average may be more useful.

-7323K -3000K -
Dec, 12 18:01
10-y Bond Auction
10-y Bond Auction
Country:
Date: Dec, 12 18:01
Importance: Low
Previous: 3.209%; 2.54
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Dec
10-y Bond Auction is a leading market demand and profitability indicator. Profit falls compared to the previous auctions generally have a favourable influence on the currency.
3.209%; 2.54 - -
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