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Event Previous Forecast Actual
Dec, 07 05:00
Consumer Credit
Consumer Credit
Country:
Date: Dec, 07 05:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 3.2
Forecast: 10.4
Actual: 19.2bln
Period: Oct

Measures the outstanding debt held by consumers. Consumer Credit levels coincide with the economy, rising during economic expansion and dropping during a recession. Growth in Consumer Credit means that consumers have higher spending ability, which can fuel economic growth. However, too much Consumer Debt can result in an economic slowdown in the long term if consumers become overburdened with debt, then either reducing consumption or passing debt on to the financers after bankruptcy. The headline value is the outstanding debt held by consumers.

3.2 10.4 19.2bln
Dec, 07 03:00
Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count
Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count
Country:
Date: Dec, 07 03:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 582
Forecast: -
Actual: 589
Period: Dec
The Baker Hughes rig count is an important business barometer for the oil drilling industry. When drilling rigs are active they consume products and services produced by the oil service industry. The active rig count acts as a leading indicator of demand for oil products.
582 - 589
Dec, 07 00:00
UoM Inflation Expectations
UoM Inflation Expectations
Country:
Date: Dec, 07 00:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 2.6%; 3.2%
Forecast: 2.9%; 3.2%
Actual: 2.9%; 3.1%
Period: Dec
The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index released by the University of Michigan is a survey of personal consumer confidence in economic activity. It shows a picture of whether or not consumers are willing to spend money. Generally speaking, a high reading anticipates positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
2.6%; 3.2% 2.9%; 3.2% 2.9%; 3.1%
Dec, 07 00:00
★★
Ivey Purchasing Managers Index
Ivey Purchasing Managers Index
Country:
Date: Dec, 07 00:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 52.0; 52.2
Forecast: 53.1
Actual: 52.3; 49.7
Period: Nov

The Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) is an economic index which measures the month to month variation in economic activity as indicated by a panel of purchasing managers from across Canada, and is prepared by the Richard Ivey School of Business. The PMI is provided in two formats: unadjusted and seasonally adjusted. It shows responses to one question: ""Were your purchases last month in dollars higher, the same, or lower than the previous month?"" A figure above 50 shows an increase while below 50 shows a decrease. The Ivey Purchasing Managers Index is often referred to as the Purchasing Managers Index, or PMI and is sponsored by the Richard Ivey School of Business and the Purchasing Management Association of Canada (PMAC). The PMI includes both the public and private sectors and is based on month end data Ivey PMI panel members indicate whether their organizations activity is higher than, the same as, or lower than the previous month across the following five categories: purchases, employment, inventories, supplier deliveries and prices.

52.0; 52.2 53.1 52.3; 49.7
Dec, 06 22:30
Participation rate
Participation rate
Country:
Date: Dec, 06 22:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 62.6%
Forecast: 62.6%
Actual: 62.5%
Period: Nov

A measure of the active portion of an economy's labor force. The participation rate refers to the number of people who are either employed or are actively looking for work. The number of people who are no longer actively searching for work would not be included in the participation rate. During an economic recession, many workers often get discouraged and stop looking for employment, as a result, the participation rate decreases. The participation rate is an important metric to note when looking at unemployment data because unemployment figures reflect the number of people who are looking for jobs but are unable to secure employment.

62.6% 62.6% 62.5%
Dec, 06 22:30
★★
Average Hourly Earnings
Average Hourly Earnings
Country:
Date: Dec, 06 22:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 0.4%; 4.0%
Forecast: 0.3%; 3.9%
Actual: 0.4%; 4.0%
Period: Nov

An indicator of how the average level of pay is changing. The Average Hourly Earnings figure provides insight into future spending and inflation. A High Average Hourly Earnings bodes well for future consumption, as workers have more disposable income. High figures may indicate inflationary pressures due to employee's additional potential to spend. The figure is either measured in hourly or weekly averages or as a percent change from the previous month.

0.4%; 4.0% 0.3%; 3.9% 0.4%; 4.0%
Dec, 06 22:30
★★
Change in Private Payrolls
Change in Private Payrolls
Country:
Date: Dec, 06 22:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: -2K
Forecast: 160K
Actual: 194K
Period: Nov

Private Nonfarm Payrolls measures the change in the number of total payrolls in any business, excluding general government employees, private household employees, employees of nonprofit organizations that provide assistance to individuals and farm employees.

-2K 160K 194K
Dec, 06 22:30
★★★
Non-Farm Payrolls
Non-Farm Payrolls
Country:
Date: Dec, 06 22:30
Importance: High
Previous: 36K
Forecast: 218K
Actual: 227K
Period: Nov

One of the most widely anticipated reports on the US economic calendar, the Employment Situation is a timely report that gives a picture of job creation, loss, wages and working hours in the United States. Data in the report relies on the Household Survey and the Establishment (or Payroll) Survey. While the Household Survey is based on the interviews to US households, the Establishment Survey queries business establishments, making it the preferred source of data. The Employment Situation's has many significant figures such as: Change in Non Farm Payrolls, Unemployment, Manufacturing Payrolls, and Average Hourly Earnings.

The headline figures for this report are reported monthly, as the total number of new jobs in thousands (say, 120K new jobs), and the unemployment rate.

Change in Non-farm Payrolls

Monthly change in employment excluding the farming sector. Non-farm payrolls is the most closely watched indicator in the Employment Situation, considered the most comprehensive measure of job creation in the US. Such a distinction makes the NFP figure highly significant, given the importance of labor to the US economy. Specifically, political pressures come into play, as the Fed is responsible for keeping employment in a healthy range and utilizes interest rate changes to do so. A surge in new Non-farm Payrolls suggests rising employment and potential inflation pressures, which the Fed often counters with rate increases. On the other hand, a consistent decline in Non-farm Employment suggests a slowing economy, which makes a decline in rates more likely.

36K 218K 227K
Dec, 06 22:30
★★★
Unemployment Rate
Unemployment Rate
Country:
Date: Dec, 06 22:30
Importance: High
Previous: 4.1%
Forecast: 4.1%
Actual: 4.2%
Period: Nov

The percentage of individuals in the labor force who are without a job but actively seeking one. A higher Unemployment Rate is generally a drain on the economy. Not only does it mean that resources are not being fully utilized, but it also results in lower consumer spending as there are fewer workers receiving paychecks.

Note: The unemployment rate generally moves slowly, so changes of only a few tenths of a percent are still considered significant. Also note that the unemployment rate does not account for discouraged workers. Therefore, in an economically depressed environment, such as that which occurred in Cold War era East Germany, the Unemployment Rate may not accurately reflect the extent of problems.

4.1% 4.1% 4.2%
Dec, 06 22:30
Participation Rate
Participation Rate
Country:
Date: Dec, 06 22:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 64.8%
Forecast: 64.8%
Actual: 65.1%
Period: Nov
The participation rate is the percentage of the total number of people of labour-force age (15 years and over) that is in the labour force (either working or looking for work). The data provided by Statistics Canada is monthly and deseasonalized; this eliminates the impact of seasonal variations and makes it possible to compare data throughout the year. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the CAD , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the CAD.
64.8% 64.8% 65.1%
Dec, 06 22:30
★★
Part Time Employment Change
Part Time Employment Change
Country:
Date: Dec, 06 22:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 25.6K; -11.2K
Forecast: -
Actual: 54.2K; -3.6K
Period: Nov

modern award usually defines a part-time employee as an employee who is engaged to work less than an average of 38 ordinary hours per week and whose hours of work are reasonably predictable, with a guaranteed minimum number of hours of work. Work is usually performed on regular days of the week. A part-time employee will usually be entitled to the same employment conditions as a full-time employee, but on a pro rata basis compared to the full-time hours (usually 38 per week) prescribed under the applicable industrial instrument.

25.6K; -11.2K - 54.2K; -3.6K
Dec, 06 22:30
★★★
Employment Change
Employment Change
Country:
Date: Dec, 06 22:30
Importance: High
Previous: 14.5K
Forecast: 24.7K
Actual: 50.5K
Period: Nov

Tracks the number of the employed in the country. A surge in new employment suggests higher spending potential and budding inflation pressures.

14.5K 24.7K 50.5K
Dec, 06 22:30
★★★
Unemployment Rate
Unemployment Rate
Country:
Date: Dec, 06 22:30
Importance: High
Previous: 6.5%
Forecast: 6.6%
Actual: 6.8%
Period: Nov

The percentage of individuals in the labor force who are without a job but actively seeking one. A higher Unemployment Rate is generally a drain on the economy. Not only does it mean that resources are not being fully utilized, but it also results in lower consumer spending as there are fewer workers receiving paychecks.

Note: The unemployment rate generally moves slowly, so changes of only a few tenths of a percent are still considered significant. Also note that the unemployment rate does not account for discouraged workers. Therefore, in an economically depressed environment, such as that which occurred in Cold War era East Germany, the Unemployment Rate may not accurately reflect the extent of problems.

6.5% 6.6% 6.8%
Dec, 06 19:00
Employment Change
Employment Change
Country:
Date: Dec, 06 19:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.2%; 1.0%
Forecast: 0.2%; 1.0%
Actual: 0.2%; 1.0%
Period: 3 quarter

Tracks the number of the employed in the country. A surge in new employment suggests higher spending potential and budding inflation pressures.

0.2%; 1.0% 0.2%; 1.0% 0.2%; 1.0%
Dec, 06 19:00
GDP revised
GDP revised
Country:
Date: Dec, 06 19:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.4%; 0.9%
Forecast: 0.4%; 0.9%
Actual: 0.4%; 0.9%
Period: 3 quarter

An indicator for broad overall growth in the Eurozone. Robust GDP growth signals a heightened level of economic activity, and therefore a high demand for currency. Economic expansion also raises concerns about inflationary pressure, which generally prompts monetary authorities to increase interest rates. This means that positive GDP readings are generally bullish for a given currency, while negative readings are bearish.

Due to the untimeliness of this report and because data on GDP components are available beforehand, the actual GDP figure is usually well anticipated. But given its overall significance GDP has the tendency to move the market upon release, acting to confirm or upset economic expectations. Robust GDP growth signals a heightened level of activity that is generally associated with a healthy economy. However economic expansion also raises concerns about inflationary pressures which may lead to monetary policy tightening.

The headline figure for GDP is an annualized percentage growth rate.

Technically, Gross Domestic Product is calculated in the following way:

GDP = C + I + G + (EX - IM)
where
C = private consumption
I = private investment
G = government expenditure
EX = exports of goods and services
IM = imports of goods and services

Technical note : GDP is the total market value of goods and services produced in the Eurozone within a given period after deducting the cost of goods and services used up in the process of production. Therefore, GDP excludes intermediate goods and services and considers final aggregates only.

0.4%; 0.9% 0.4%; 0.9% 0.4%; 0.9%
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