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Event Previous Forecast Actual
Oct, 19 19:00
Federal Budget Balance
Federal Budget Balance
Country:
Date: Oct, 19 19:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -200.3bln
Forecast: 83.5bln
Actual: -
Period: Sep

This is a report which measures the difference in value between the federal government's income and spending during the previous month.

-200.3bln 83.5bln -
Oct, 21 03:00
Credit Card Spending
Credit Card Spending
Country:
Date: Oct, 21 03:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 2.4% m/m; 6.0% y/y
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Sep

Shows a change in the total expenditure made via credit cards.

2.4% m/m; 6.0% y/y - -
Oct, 21 05:30
All Industry Activity Index
All Industry Activity Index
Country:
Date: Oct, 21 05:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.2%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Aug

Evaluates the monthly change in overall production by all sectors of the Japanese economy. The index comprises a variety of industries: service, manufacturing, construction and public sectors are included. The index closely follows Japanese GDP and overall growth figures, providing insight into current levels of Japanese economic expansion. The All Industry Activity Index is posted monthly as a percentage change from the previous month's figure.

0.2% - -
Oct, 21 07:00
PPI
PPI
Country:
Date: Oct, 21 07:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -0.5% m/m; 0.3% y/y
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Sep

Measures changes in the selling prices producers charge for goods and services, and well as tracks how prices feed through the production process. Because producers tend to pass on higher costs to consumers as higher retail prices, the PPI is valuable as an early indicator of inflation. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Dollar, where each dollar buys fewer goods and services. The report also gives insight into how higher prices from raw materials flow toward the final product.

A rise in PPI signals an increase in inflationary pressures. Given the economic instability associated with rising price levels, the Fed often will raise interest rates to check inflation. A low or falling PPI is indicative of declining prices, and may suggest an economic slowdown.

The headline figure is expressed in percentage change of producer price.

Notes: The PPI records prices at various stages of production: raw goods, intermediate goods and finished goods. Though intermediate and crude goods prices do provide insight for future inflationary pressure, it is the price of finished goods that generates most interest for market participants. The finished goods data is able to gauge price pressure before the goods reach the retail market.

-0.5% m/m; 0.3% y/y - -
Oct, 21 11:00
Bundesbank Monthly Report
Bundesbank Monthly Report
Country:
Date: Oct, 21 11:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -

Market impact tends to be greater when the report reveals a viewpoint that clashes with the ECB's stance. It contains relevant articles, speeches, statistical tables, and provides detailed analysis of current and future economic conditions from the bank's viewpoint.

- - -
Oct, 22 09:30
★★
Public Sector Net Borrowing
Public Sector Net Borrowing
Country:
Date: Oct, 22 09:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 5.8bln; 6.4bln
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Sep
In the U.K., the amount of expenditures less the total receipts taken in by the government. Public sector net borrowing is the measure of fiscal surpluses and deficits along with the amount of new debt created. If this number is positive, it means the U.K. is running a fiscal deficit, while a negative number represents a fiscal surplus.
5.8bln; 6.4bln - -
Oct, 22 11:00
CBI industrial order books balance
CBI industrial order books balance
Country:
Date: Oct, 22 11:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -28
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Oct

This review reflects businessmen sentiment concerning the position of the industrial sector of the economy.

-28 - -
Oct, 22 13:30
★★
Retail Sales
Retail Sales
Country:
Date: Oct, 22 13:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 0.4% m/m; -0.1% m/m
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Aug

Gauge for goods sold at retail outlets in the past month. Retail Sales is a leading indicator for the economy. Rising consumer spending fuels economic growth, confirms signals from consumer confidence, and may spark inflationary pressures.

The headline figure is expressed as the percentage change from the same month last year.

0.4% m/m; -0.1% m/m - -
Oct, 22 15:00
Existing Home Sales
Existing Home Sales
Country:
Date: Oct, 22 15:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 5.49M; 1.3%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Sep

Records sales of previously owned homes in the United States . This report provides a fairly accurate assessment of housing market conditions, and because of the sensitivity of the housing market to business cycle twists, it can be an important indicator of overall conditions at times when housing is particularly important to the economy.

While used home sales are not counted in GDP, they do affect the United States economy. Sellers of used homes often use capital gains from property sales on consumption that stimulate the economy. Higher levels of consumer spending may also increase inflationary pressures, even as they help grow the economy.

The existing home sales report is not as timely as other housing indicators like New Home Sales or Building Permits. By the time the Existing Home Sales are recorded, market conditions may have changed.

The headline is the total value of properties sold.

5.49M; 1.3% - -
Oct, 22 15:00
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
Country:
Date: Oct, 22 15:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -9
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Oct

Assesses regional manufacturing conditions for the Richmond Fed District. Based on mail-in surveys from a representative sample of manufacturing plants, the Richmond Fed Index seeks to track industrial performance. The report puts particular emphasis on inflationary pressures.

Though the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey is valued for its quick turnaround, it is still released after the ISM survey. As a result, the figure is often used to affirm or question the ISM report, and has little impact on markets. The Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey also asks manufacturing executives to stress price expectations. Some markets participants use this data as an early gauge to CPI and PPI reports released a few days later.

The headline figure is a three-month average, calculated by finding the percentage difference between positive and negative responses for the last three months, using a zero boom/bust centerline.

Note: The survey covers such topics as shipments, order volume, backlog volume, capacity utilization, vendor lead time, employees, average workweek, wages, inventory levels, and capital expenditures. The Fifth District includes the District of Columbia , Maryland , both Carolinas, and most of the Virginias.

-9 - -
Oct, 22 15:30
Leading Index (Conference Board)
Leading Index (Conference Board)
Country:
Date: Oct, 22 15:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 107.2; -0.2%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Aug

The Index includes account inventory ratios, machinery orders, stock prices and other leading economic indicators. As the aggregate of many leading indices the Leading Economic Index provides a forecast of the future state of the domestic economy and is thought to predict activity that will occur 6-9 months after the reporting period.

The index operates on a 1-100 scale, where a value lower than 50 means that most indictors are negative and a value higher than 50 means most indicators are positive. In both cases a greater distance from the midpoint (50) means that the indicators are more strongly positive or negative.

107.2; -0.2% - -
Oct, 22 15:30
★★
Overview of business prospects, according to the Bank of Canada
Overview of business prospects, according to the Bank of Canada
Country:
Date: Oct, 22 15:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 0.19
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: 3 quarter
Indicator of the balance of opinions on the economic prospects of the Bank of Canada. Reflects sentiments regarding the outlook for the future of economic activity. May affect the Bank of Canada's opinion on the rate decision.
0.19 - -
Oct, 22 15:30
★★
Bank of Canada Senior Loan Officer
Bank of Canada Senior Loan Officer
Country:
Date: Oct, 22 15:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: -5.76
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: 3 quarter

The Senior Loan Officer Survey collects information on the business-lending practices of Canadian financial institutions. In particular, the Survey gathers the perspectives of respondents on price and non-price terms of business lending and on topical issues of interest to the Bank of Canada. The survey is conducted quarterly, near the end of the quarter for which the results are reported.

-5.76 - -
Oct, 22 22:45
★★
Trade Balance
Trade Balance
Country:
Date: Oct, 22 22:45
Importance: Medium
Previous: -1565M; -5484M
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Sep

A country's trade balance reflects the difference between exports and imports of goods and services. The trade balance is one of the biggest components of the Balance of Payment, giving valuable insight into pressures on country's currency.

Surpluses and Deficits
A positive Trade Balance (surplus) indicates that exports are greater than imports. When imports exceed exports, the country experiences a trade deficit. Because foreign goods are usually purchased using foreign currency, trade deficits usually reflect currency leaking out of the country. Such currency outflows may lead to a natural depreciation unless countered by comparable capital inflows (inflows in the form of investments, FDI - where foreigners investing in local equity, bond or real estates markets). At a bare minimum, deficits fundamentally weigh down the value of the currency.

Ramifications of Trade Balance on Markets
There are a number of factors that work to diminish the market impact of Trade Balance upon immediate release. The report is not very timely, coming some time after the reporting period. Developments in many of the figure's components are also typically anticipated well beforehand. Lastly, since the report reflects data for a specific reporting month or quarter, any significant changes in the Trade Balance should plausibly have already been felt during that period - and not during the release of data.

However, because of the overall significance of Trade Balance data in forecasting trends in the Forex Market, the release has historically been one of the most important reports out of the any country.

-1565M; -5484M - -
Oct, 22 23:20
RBA Assistant Governor Christopher Kent Speaks
RBA Assistant Governor Christopher Kent Speaks
Country:
Date: Oct, 22 23:20
Importance: Low
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -
Christopher Kent is Reserve Bank of Australia Assistant Governor since February 2012. He is responsible for the Bank’s Economic Analysis and Economic Research Departments. He is also Chief Economic Adviser to the RBA Governor. His comments may cast light on the regulator’s position and the Australian dollar exchange rate.
- - -
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