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Event Previous Forecast Actual
Dec, 15 15:30
★★★
ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks
ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks
Country:
Date: Dec, 15 15:30
Importance: High
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -

Mario Draghi is an Italian banker and economist who succeeded Jean-Claude Trichet as President of the European Central Bank on 1 November 2011.

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Dec, 17 05:01
Rightmove House Prices
Rightmove House Prices
Country:
Date: Dec, 17 05:01
Importance: Low
Previous: -1.7% m/m; -0.2% y/y
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Dec

House prices index in Great Britain.

-1.7% m/m; -0.2% y/y - -
Dec, 17 14:00
Trade Balance
Trade Balance
Country:
Date: Dec, 17 14:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 1.27В
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Oct

A country's trade balance reflects the difference between exports and imports of goods and services. The trade balance is one of the biggest components of the Balance of Payment, giving valuable insight into pressures on country's currency.

Surpluses and Deficits
A positive Trade Balance (surplus) indicates that exports are greater than imports. When imports exceed exports, the country experiences a trade deficit. Because foreign goods are usually purchased using foreign currency, trade deficits usually reflect currency leaking out of the country. Such currency outflows may lead to a natural depreciation unless countered by comparable capital inflows (inflows in the form of investments, FDI - where foreigners investing in local equity, bond or real estates markets). At a bare minimum, deficits fundamentally weigh down the value of the currency.

Ramifications of Trade Balance on Markets
There are a number of factors that work to diminish the market impact of Trade Balance upon immediate release. The report is not very timely, coming some time after the reporting period. Developments in many of the figure's components are also typically anticipated well beforehand. Lastly, since the report reflects data for a specific reporting month or quarter, any significant changes in the Trade Balance should plausibly have already been felt during that period - and not during the release of data.

However, because of the overall significance of Trade Balance data in forecasting trends in the Forex Market, the release has historically been one of the most important reports out of the any country.

1.27В - -
Dec, 17 15:00
Current Account (sa)
Current Account (sa)
Country:
Date: Dec, 17 15:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 13.4bln; 13.1В
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Oct

  The Current Account summarizes the flow of goods, services, income and transfer payments into and out of the country. The report acts as a line-item record of how the domestic economy interacts with rest of the world. The Current Account is one of the three components that make up a country's Balance of Payments (Financial Account, Capital Account and Current Account), the detailed accounting of all international interactions. Where the other side of the Balance of Payments, Capital and Financial Accounts deal mainly with financial assets and investments, the Current Account gives a detailed breakdown of how the country intermingles with rest of the global economy on a non-investment basis - tracking good and services.

13.4bln; 13.1В - -
Dec, 17 15:00
Consumer Price Index Core
Consumer Price Index Core
Country:
Date: Dec, 17 15:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 1.0%
Forecast: 1.0%
Actual: -
Period: Nov

CPI is the key gauge for inflation in the Eurozone. Inflation, simply put, is a decline in the purchasing power of the Euro, where each Euro buys fewer goods and services due to higher consumer prices. The index tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical household might purchase. When the CPI is high, it indicates that significant inflationary pressures exist in Eurozone economies. This puts pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates. When CPI comes out lower than expected, the ECB is expected to lower interest rates, or keep them lower, to encourage economic growth. As a rule, the Bank adjusts rates in order to keep Europe consumer price inflation in the 0 to 2 percent range.

1.0% 1.0% -
Dec, 17 15:00
★★
Consumer Price Index
Consumer Price Index
Country:
Date: Dec, 17 15:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 2.0%
Forecast: 2.0%
Actual: -
Period: Nov

CPI is the key gauge for inflation in the Eurozone. Inflation, simply put, is a decline in the purchasing power of the Euro, where each Euro buys fewer goods and services due to higher consumer prices. The index tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical household might purchase. When the CPI is high, it indicates that significant inflationary pressures exist in Eurozone economies. This puts pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates. When CPI comes out lower than expected, the ECB is expected to lower interest rates, or keep them lower, to encourage economic growth. As a rule, the Bank adjusts rates in order to keep Europe consumer price inflation in the 0 to 2 percent range.

2.0% 2.0% -
Dec, 17 16:00
CBI industrial order books balance
CBI industrial order books balance
Country:
Date: Dec, 17 16:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 10
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Dec

This review reflects businessmen sentiment concerning the position of the industrial sector of the economy.

10 - -
Dec, 17 16:00
Bundesbank Monthly Report
Bundesbank Monthly Report
Country:
Date: Dec, 17 16:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -

Market impact tends to be greater when the report reveals a viewpoint that clashes with the ECB's stance. It contains relevant articles, speeches, statistical tables, and provides detailed analysis of current and future economic conditions from the bank's viewpoint.

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Dec, 17 18:30
NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index
NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index
Country:
Date: Dec, 17 18:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 23.3
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Dec

  Survey assessing business conditions and expectations of manufacturing executives in New York . Though the survey is relatively new and New York has a considerably small number of manufacturers, the report has shown a promising correlation to the Philadelphia Fed Index and the market moving ISM Manufacturing Survey. Thus Empire serves as a useful earlier indicator of overall manufacturing in the US .

Results are calculated as the difference between percentage of positive and negative scores; zero acts as the breakeven point. A high figure is bullish for the dollar, indicating positive business sentiment conducive to growth in production. A low or negative number signals poor business conditions.

23.3 - -
Dec, 17 18:30
Foreign Securities Purchases
Foreign Securities Purchases
Country:
Date: Dec, 17 18:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 7.70bln
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Oct

Summarizes the flow of stocks, bonds, and money market funds to and from Canada.

7.70bln - -
Dec, 17 20:00
NAHB Housing Market Index
NAHB Housing Market Index
Country:
Date: Dec, 17 20:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 60
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Dec

A timely gauge of home sales and expectations for future home building. Based on a small sample of homebuilders, the Housing Market Index is a timely indicator of future US home sales. However, as the index is not as comprehensive as formal housing reports like new home sales or MBA mortgage applications, the index acts more like a supplemental indicator for predicting housing trends.

As such, the NAHB Housing Market Index is still able to provide general insight to where the housing market is heading. Given that new home sales reflect 'big ticket' items that require construction and investment, the housing market is often viewed as an indicator of the direction of the economy as a whole. Growth in the housing market will spur subsequent spending, generating demand for goods and services and the employees who provide them.

The report headline is expressed in percentage change from the previous month. The NAHB Housing Market Index divides the Single-Family Sales data into three categories: Present, Next 6 Months and Prospective Buyers Traffic.

60 - -
Dec, 17 20:30
Leading Index (Conference Board)
Leading Index (Conference Board)
Country:
Date: Dec, 17 20:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 105.8; -0.1%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Oct

The Index includes account inventory ratios, machinery orders, stock prices and other leading economic indicators. As the aggregate of many leading indices the Leading Economic Index provides a forecast of the future state of the domestic economy and is thought to predict activity that will occur 6-9 months after the reporting period.

The index operates on a 1-100 scale, where a value lower than 50 means that most indictors are negative and a value higher than 50 means most indicators are positive. In both cases a greater distance from the midpoint (50) means that the indicators are more strongly positive or negative.

105.8; -0.1% - -
Dec, 18 02:00
TICS
TICS
Country:
Date: Dec, 18 02:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 30.8bln
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Oct

Measures Capital Flow into U.S. Denominated Assets. Summarizes the flow of stocks, bonds and money market funds to and from the United States. The headline figure is the difference in value between American purchases of foreign securities and foreign purchases of American securities, expressed in millions of dollars. The Treasury International Capital or TIC statement is a major component of the American capital account and gives valuable insight into foreign demand for American investments and dollar.

A positive figure indicates that more capital is entering the US than leaving as sales of American securities to foreigners exceed American purchases of foreign securities. Such positive figures suggest that American security markets are competitive with those of other countries. Foreign security purchases are especially important in the case of a trade deficit, as a positive figure can offset the depreciating effect of a trade shortfall. On the contrary, a negative or declining TICS figure reflects a declining capital flow picture. Outflows are indicative of weaker demand for US assets which puts downward pressure on the value of the dollar.

A key feature of the TIC data is its measurement of the types of investors the dollar has; governments and private investors. Usually, a strong government holding of dollar denominated assets signals growing dollar optimism as it shows that governments are confident in the stability of the US dollar. Most importantly seems to be the purchases of Asian central banks such as that of Japan and China. Waning demand by these two behemoth US Treasury holders could be bearish for the US dollar. As for absolute amount of foreign purchases, the market generally likes to see purchases be much stronger than the funding needs of that same month's trade deficit. If it is not, it signals that there is not enough dollars coming in to match dollar going out of the country.

30.8bln - -
Dec, 18 05:00
★★
ANZ Business Confidence
ANZ Business Confidence
Country:
Date: Dec, 18 05:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: -37.1
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Dec

The results of the ANZ Bank Business survey held among businesses nationwide.

-37.1 - -
Dec, 18 05:30
★★
Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook
Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook
Country:
Date: Dec, 18 05:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -
The Mid-year Economic and Fiscal Outlook (MYEFO) updates the economic and fiscal outlook from the previous budget. As well as updating the economic and fiscal outlook, the MYEFO updates the budgetary position. In particular, the MYEFO takes account of all decisions made since the release of the budget which affect expenses and revenue and hence revises the budget aggregates. An appendix to MYEFO summarises all policy decisions taken since the budget.
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