Date
GMT+01:00
Event Value
Jul, 16 15:30
EIA Natural Gas Storage Change
EIA Natural Gas Storage Change
Country:
Date: Jul, 16 15:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 56bln
Forecast: 48bln
Actual: -
Period: Jul

Weekly report about natural gas storage change in the USA.

56bln
Jul, 16 16:10
★★
FOMC Member John C. Williams Speaks
FOMC Member John C. Williams Speaks
Country:
Date: Jul, 16 16:10
Importance: Medium
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -

John C. Williams is President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

Jul, 16 18:30
FOMC Member Charles Evans Speaks
FOMC Member Charles Evans Speaks
Country:
Date: Jul, 16 18:30
Importance: Low
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -

Charles L. Evans is the ninth President and chief executive officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. In that capacity, he serves on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the Federal Reserve System's monetary policy-making body.

Jul, 16 21:00
TICS
TICS
Country:
Date: Jul, 16 21:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -128.4bln
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: May

Measures Capital Flow into U.S. Denominated Assets. Summarizes the flow of stocks, bonds and money market funds to and from the United States. The headline figure is the difference in value between American purchases of foreign securities and foreign purchases of American securities, expressed in millions of dollars. The Treasury International Capital or TIC statement is a major component of the American capital account and gives valuable insight into foreign demand for American investments and dollar.

A positive figure indicates that more capital is entering the US than leaving as sales of American securities to foreigners exceed American purchases of foreign securities. Such positive figures suggest that American security markets are competitive with those of other countries. Foreign security purchases are especially important in the case of a trade deficit, as a positive figure can offset the depreciating effect of a trade shortfall. On the contrary, a negative or declining TICS figure reflects a declining capital flow picture. Outflows are indicative of weaker demand for US assets which puts downward pressure on the value of the dollar.

A key feature of the TIC data is its measurement of the types of investors the dollar has; governments and private investors. Usually, a strong government holding of dollar denominated assets signals growing dollar optimism as it shows that governments are confident in the stability of the US dollar. Most importantly seems to be the purchases of Asian central banks such as that of Japan and China. Waning demand by these two behemoth US Treasury holders could be bearish for the US dollar. As for absolute amount of foreign purchases, the market generally likes to see purchases be much stronger than the funding needs of that same month's trade deficit. If it is not, it signals that there is not enough dollars coming in to match dollar going out of the country.

-128.4bln
Jul, 16 23:30
★★
Business NZ Manufacturing Index
Business NZ Manufacturing Index
Country:
Date: Jul, 16 23:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 39.7
Forecast: 35.6
Actual: -
Period: Jun

Индикатор активности в производстве. Аналог Manufacturing PMI. Показывает улучшение (>50) или ухудшение (<50) ситуации в сравнении с предыдущим месяцем. Рост показателя либо превышение прогноза благоприятны для валюты.

39.7
Jul, 17 00:01
GfK Consumer Confidence Survey
GfK Consumer Confidence Survey
Country:
Date: Jul, 17 00:01
Importance: Low
Previous: -27
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Jul

Consumer Confidence measures the level of confidence households have in economic performance. Generally rising consumer confidence acts as a precursor to higher consumer expenditures which drive economic expansion. The report also breaks down results into parts of the economy, giving a detailed picture of the consumer climate in Great Britain. GfK Consumer Confidence is one of the most closely watched surveys. The survey results are quantified into index where 0 represents long term Consumer Confidence averages. The headline figure is expressed in percentage change. On a global basis, the indicator is very important for the economy, as it reflects consumers sentiments which formed the major portion of Great Britain GDP. The survey is conducted monthly by GfK, a market research organization, on behalf of the EU commission.

-27
Jul, 17 10:00
★★
Consumer Price Index
Consumer Price Index
Country:
Date: Jul, 17 10:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 0.3%
Forecast: 0.3%
Actual: -
Period: Jun

CPI is the key gauge for inflation in the Eurozone. Inflation, simply put, is a decline in the purchasing power of the Euro, where each Euro buys fewer goods and services due to higher consumer prices. The index tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical household might purchase. When the CPI is high, it indicates that significant inflationary pressures exist in Eurozone economies. This puts pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates. When CPI comes out lower than expected, the ECB is expected to lower interest rates, or keep them lower, to encourage economic growth. As a rule, the Bank adjusts rates in order to keep Europe consumer price inflation in the 0 to 2 percent range.

0.3%
Jul, 17 10:00
Consumer Price Index Core
Consumer Price Index Core
Country:
Date: Jul, 17 10:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.8%
Forecast: 0.8%
Actual: -
Period: Jun

CPI is the key gauge for inflation in the Eurozone. Inflation, simply put, is a decline in the purchasing power of the Euro, where each Euro buys fewer goods and services due to higher consumer prices. The index tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical household might purchase. When the CPI is high, it indicates that significant inflationary pressures exist in Eurozone economies. This puts pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates. When CPI comes out lower than expected, the ECB is expected to lower interest rates, or keep them lower, to encourage economic growth. As a rule, the Bank adjusts rates in order to keep Europe consumer price inflation in the 0 to 2 percent range.

0.8%
Jul, 17 11:00
★★★
BOE Governor Andrew Bailey delivers a speech
BOE Governor Andrew Bailey delivers a speech
Country:
Date: Jul, 17 11:00
Importance: High
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -
Jul, 17 13:30
★★
Building Permits
Building Permits
Country:
Date: Jul, 17 13:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 1220K; 14.4%
Forecast: 1300K
Actual: -
Period: Jun

The number of new building projects authorized for construction. The figure is widely used as an indicator for developments in the housing market, since receiving a permit to build is the first step in the construction process. Thus growth in Building Permits reflects growth in the construction sector. Also, due to the high outlays needed for construction projects, an increase in Building Permits suggests corporate and consumer optimism. Additionally, because leading indicators for the housing market respond quickly to changes in the business cycle, the Building Permit figure can act as a leading indicator for the economy as a whole.

The headline is the seasonally adjusted percentage change in Building Permits from the previous month.

1220K; 14.4%
Jul, 17 13:30
★★
Housing Starts
Housing Starts
Country:
Date: Jul, 17 13:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 974K; 4.3%
Forecast: 1170K
Actual: -
Period: Jun

Gauges the change in the number of new houses built in the United States. Housing Starts are one of the earliest indicators of the housing market, only trailing Building Permits in timeliness.

Because high outlays are needed to start construction projects, an increase in Housing Starts implies an increase in investment and business optimism. Finally, the Housing Starts figure gives insight into consumer activity, since new home purchases typically require a large investment for consumers. Given such connections to consumer and corporate sentiment, real estate generally leads economic developments. A sharp drop in new home construction is a warning signal of economic slowdown. Conversely, a rebound in the Housing Starts paves the way for economic recovery.

Housing Starts data is differentiated by building types (single family houses, 2 to 4 residence units and 5 or more residence units). The single family housing starts is a more reliable economic indicator than multi family housing starts, as single family house building is driven by demand and consumer confidence, whereas multi family house building is more often motivated by speculative real estate investors. The report headline is expressed in volume of houses built. The figures are in the thousands of units.

974K; 4.3%
Jul, 17 13:30
Wholesale Sales
Wholesale Sales
Country:
Date: Jul, 17 13:30
Importance: Low
Previous: -21.6%
Forecast: 7.4%
Actual: -
Period: May

The value of sales made by Canadian wholesalers. Wholesalers sell to industries and retailers in quantities far larger than most consumers are willing to purchase. Given that growth in Wholesale Trade usually precedes increases in retail trade and consumption, changes in Wholesale Sales can be used as an early indicator for the overall direction of the retail sector, consumption and the economy. The headline figure reports the monthly percentage change in Wholesale Sales, seasonally adjusted to account for variations in demand due to seasonal cycles.

These sectors are farm products, food, beverages, and tobacco products, personal and household goods, automotive products, building materials, machinery and electronic equipment etc.

-21.6%
Jul, 17 15:00
★★
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
Country:
Date: Jul, 17 15:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 78.1
Forecast: 79.0
Actual: -
Period: Jul

Assesses consumer confidence regarding personal finances, business conditions and purchasing power based on hundreds of telephone surveys. Especially valued for its quick turnaround, the University of Michigan Confidence survey is considered one of the foremost indicators of US consumer sentiment. The survey polls a smaller sample of consumers and is less established than the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index.

Declining consumer confidence levels usually accompany any fall income or wages and precede drops in consumer spending. A low or falling sentiment value is considered an early indicator of an economic downturn. As a result, investors, retailers and traders alike all watch the figure for insight into the general health of the economy. The University of Michigan figures have recently preceded turning in overall GDP.

The headline figure is calculated by subtracting the percentage of unfavorable replies from the percentage of favorable replies.

78.1
Jul, 17 15:00
UoM Inflation Expectations
UoM Inflation Expectations
Country:
Date: Jul, 17 15:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 3.0%; 2.5%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Jul
The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index released by the University of Michigan is a survey of personal consumer confidence in economic activity. It shows a picture of whether or not consumers are willing to spend money. Generally speaking, a high reading anticipates positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
3.0%; 2.5%
Jul, 17 18:00
Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count
Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count
Country:
Date: Jul, 17 18:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 258
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Jul
The Baker Hughes rig count is an important business barometer for the oil drilling industry. When drilling rigs are active they consume products and services produced by the oil service industry. The active rig count acts as a leading indicator of demand for oil products.
258
Jul, 20 05:30
All Industry Activity Index
All Industry Activity Index
Country:
Date: Jul, 20 05:30
Importance: Low
Previous: -6.4%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: May

Evaluates the monthly change in overall production by all sectors of the Japanese economy. The index comprises a variety of industries: service, manufacturing, construction and public sectors are included. The index closely follows Japanese GDP and overall growth figures, providing insight into current levels of Japanese economic expansion. The All Industry Activity Index is posted monthly as a percentage change from the previous month's figure.

-6.4%
Jul, 20 07:00
PPI
PPI
Country:
Date: Jul, 20 07:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -0.4% m/m; -2.2% y/y
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Jun

Measures changes in the selling prices producers charge for goods and services, and well as tracks how prices feed through the production process. Because producers tend to pass on higher costs to consumers as higher retail prices, the PPI is valuable as an early indicator of inflation. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Dollar, where each dollar buys fewer goods and services. The report also gives insight into how higher prices from raw materials flow toward the final product.

A rise in PPI signals an increase in inflationary pressures. Given the economic instability associated with rising price levels, the Fed often will raise interest rates to check inflation. A low or falling PPI is indicative of declining prices, and may suggest an economic slowdown.

The headline figure is expressed in percentage change of producer price.

Notes: The PPI records prices at various stages of production: raw goods, intermediate goods and finished goods. Though intermediate and crude goods prices do provide insight for future inflationary pressure, it is the price of finished goods that generates most interest for market participants. The finished goods data is able to gauge price pressure before the goods reach the retail market.

-0.4% m/m; -2.2% y/y
Jul, 20 07:00
Wholesale Price Index
Wholesale Price Index
Country:
Date: Jul, 20 07:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -0.6% m/m; -4.3% y/y
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Jun

Measures changes in the prices paid by retailers for finished goods. Growth in wholesale prices usually precedes increases in retail prices, thus changes in Wholesale Prices can be used as an early indicator for inflation. While the CPI records price changes for retail goods, the WPI might pick up inflationary pressures before they reach the headline retail CPI report. The headline number is the percentage change in the index.

Note: WPI provides seasonally adjusted price changes to account for goods' seasonally volatility.

-0.6% m/m; -4.3% y/y
Jul, 20 09:00
Current Account (sa)
Current Account (sa)
Country:
Date: Jul, 20 09:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 14.4bln; 10.2bln
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: May

  The Current Account summarizes the flow of goods, services, income and transfer payments into and out of the country. The report acts as a line-item record of how the domestic economy interacts with rest of the world. The Current Account is one of the three components that make up a country's Balance of Payments (Financial Account, Capital Account and Current Account), the detailed accounting of all international interactions. Where the other side of the Balance of Payments, Capital and Financial Accounts deal mainly with financial assets and investments, the Current Account gives a detailed breakdown of how the country intermingles with rest of the global economy on a non-investment basis - tracking good and services.

14.4bln; 10.2bln
Jul, 20 11:00
Bundesbank Monthly Report
Bundesbank Monthly Report
Country:
Date: Jul, 20 11:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -

Market impact tends to be greater when the report reveals a viewpoint that clashes with the ECB's stance. It contains relevant articles, speeches, statistical tables, and provides detailed analysis of current and future economic conditions from the bank's viewpoint.

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