Date
GMT+02:00
Event Value
Sep, 16 04:00
★★★
Industrial production
Industrial production
Country:
Date: Sep, 16 04:00
Importance: High
Previous: 4.8% y/y; 5.8% y/y
Forecast: 5.2% y/y; 5.8% y/y
Actual: -
Period: Aug

Measures the volume change of output of the manufacturing and energy sector.

4.8% y/y; 5.8% y/y
Sep, 16 04:00
★★
Fixed Asset Investment
Fixed Asset Investment
Country:
Date: Sep, 16 04:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 5.7%
Forecast: 5.7%
Actual: -
Period: Aug

Fixed asset investment, or FAI, is a measure of capital spending. It refers to any investment within the measurement period in physical assets, such as real estate infrastructure, machinery, etc. that are held for more than one year. FAI can be a good indicator for how much investment is occurring in a country or region, but it is not a direct contributor to GDP.

5.7%
Sep, 16 04:00
Retail Sales
Retail Sales
Country:
Date: Sep, 16 04:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 7.6% y/y; 8.3% y/y
Forecast: 7.9% y/y; 8.3% y/y
Actual: -
Period: Aug

Gauge for goods sold at retail outlets in the past month. Retail Sales is a leading indicator for the economy. Rising consumer spending fuels economic growth, confirms signals from consumer confidence, and may spark inflationary pressures.

The headline figure is expressed as the percentage change from the same month last year.

7.6% y/y; 8.3% y/y
Sep, 16 04:00
Unemployment Rate
Unemployment Rate
Country:
Date: Sep, 16 04:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 5.3%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Aug

The percentage of individuals in the labor force who are without a job but actively seeking one. A higher Unemployment Rate is generally a drain on the economy. Not only does it mean that resources are not being fully utilized, but it also results in lower consumer spending as there are fewer workers receiving paychecks.

Note: The unemployment rate generally moves slowly, so changes of only a few tenths of a percent are still considered significant. Also note that the unemployment rate does not account for discouraged workers. Therefore, in an economically depressed environment, such as that which occurred in Cold War era East Germany, the Unemployment Rate may not accurately reflect the extent of problems.

5.3%
Sep, 16 14:30
Foreign Securities Purchases
Foreign Securities Purchases
Country:
Date: Sep, 16 14:30
Importance: Low
Previous: -3.98bln
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Jul

Summarizes the flow of stocks, bonds, and money market funds to and from Canada.

-3.98bln
Sep, 16 14:30
NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index
NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index
Country:
Date: Sep, 16 14:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 4.8
Forecast: 4.1
Actual: -
Period: Sep

  Survey assessing business conditions and expectations of manufacturing executives in New York . Though the survey is relatively new and New York has a considerably small number of manufacturers, the report has shown a promising correlation to the Philadelphia Fed Index and the market moving ISM Manufacturing Survey. Thus Empire serves as a useful earlier indicator of overall manufacturing in the US .

Results are calculated as the difference between percentage of positive and negative scores; zero acts as the breakeven point. A high figure is bullish for the dollar, indicating positive business sentiment conducive to growth in production. A low or negative number signals poor business conditions.

4.8
Sep, 16 23:00
Westpac Consumer Confidence
Westpac Consumer Confidence
Country:
Date: Sep, 16 23:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 103.5
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: 3 quarter

Officially called the Consumer Sentiment Index, this figure measures the level of consumer confidence and is an average of five indices measuring different aspects of consumer fiscal health. This is one of the few indicators that are entirely expectation-based. Households report their views on current buying conditions for household items and where they feel are the "wisest" places to invest savings. Views on future political policy (taxes, politicians, government) and economic conditions (wages, inflation, unemployment) are also surveyed.

Confidence figures are often leading indicators for the consumer spending and the economy as a whole. The headline figure is percentage change in the index value from that of the previous month.

103.5
Sep, 17 03:30
★★★
Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
Country:
Date: Sep, 17 03:30
Importance: High
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -
It's a detailed record of the RBA Reserve Bank Board's most recent meeting, providing in-depth insights into the economic conditions that influenced their decision on where to set interest rates.
Sep, 17 03:30
★★
House Price Index
House Price Index
Country:
Date: Sep, 17 03:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: -3.0%q/q; -7.4% y/y
Forecast: -1.0%q/q; -6.9% y/y
Actual: -
Period: 2 quarter

Tracks changes in housing prices in Australia's eight provincial capital cities: Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Adelaide, Perth, Hobart, Darwin, and Canberra. The headline number is the weighted average percentage change from the previous quarter. Like any price index, the housing price indexes measure inflationary pressures, in this case specifically from the housing sector. The headline number is the quarterly percentage change in the index.

-3.0%q/q; -7.4% y/y
Sep, 17 07:45
SECO Economic Forecasts
SECO Economic Forecasts
Country:
Date: Sep, 17 07:45
Importance: Low
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -

The State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECO) “is the federal government's centre of expertise for all core issues relating to economic policy. Its aim is to ensure sustainable economic growth by putting in place the necessary regulatory and economic policy conditions.” - Source www.seco.admin.ch

SECO Economic Forecasts are released quarterly and include expectations for GDP and its components such as: consumption expenditure (personal and government), construction investment, investment in equipment and software, exports, imports, employment (full time equivalent), rate of unemployment and the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

Sep, 17 11:00
★★
ZEW Economic Sentiment
ZEW Economic Sentiment
Country:
Date: Sep, 17 11:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: -44.1
Forecast: -38.0
Actual: -
Period: Sep

A German Firm, the Center for European Economic Research (ZEW), queries financial experts throughout Europe every month in order to make a medium-term forecast about Germany 's economic situation. They ask experts to evaluate the current situation and to predict the future direction of the economy. For all components of the survey, responses are restricted to positive, negative, or unchanged. This simple structure allows the survey to be quick and efficient in terms of turnaround time, as well as easy to understand and interpret.

Experts are asked for a qualitative assessment of the direction of inflation, interest rates, exchange rates and the stock market in the next six months. Thus the indicator provides a medium-term forecast for the German economy.

Technical Note on Headline Number : The results of the survey are always presented as the difference between those experts that optimistic and those are pessimistic. For instance if 25 percent of analysts expect improvement, 35 percent expect decline, and 40 percent expect no change, the headline figure is -10.

-44.1
Sep, 17 11:00
★★
ZEW Current Situation
ZEW Current Situation
Country:
Date: Sep, 17 11:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: -13.5
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Sep

A German Firm, the Center for European Economic Research (ZEW), queries financial experts throughout Europe every month in order to make a medium-term forecast about Germany 's economic situation. They ask experts to evaluate the current situation and to predict the future direction of the economy. For all components of the survey, responses are restricted to positive, negative, or unchanged. This simple structure allows the survey to be quick and efficient in terms of turnaround time, as well as easy to understand and interpret.

Unlike the Economic Sentiment Indicator which looks into the future direction of the economy, the Current Situation Indicator focuses on the results of the survey that relate to the current health of the German economy. Expert opinions on whether the current situation is improved, worsened, or unchanged are summarized as the number of positive responses minus the number of negative responses. A higher headline figure indicates a stronger economy and better business climate.

Technical Note on Headline Number : The results of the survey are always presented as the difference between those experts that optimistic and those are pessimistic. For instance if 25 percent of analysts expect improvement, 35 percent expect decline, and 40 percent expect no change, the headline figure is -10.

-13.5
Sep, 17 11:00
★★
ZEW Survey (Econ. Sentiment)
ZEW Survey (Econ. Sentiment)
Country:
Date: Sep, 17 11:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: -43.6
Forecast: -37.4
Actual: -
Period: Sep

The Center for European Economic Research (ZEW), queries financial experts throughout Europe every month in order to make a medium-term forecast about the economic situation. Eurozone ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment Assesses future economic expectations for the whole Eurozone. The results are summarized as the number of positive responses minus the number of negative responses. A higher headline figure indicates a positive expectation for Euro-zone economy.

Technical Note on Headline Number : The results of the survey are always presented as the difference between those experts that optimistic and those are pessimistic. For instance if 25 percent of analysts expect improvement, 35 percent expect decline, and 40 percent expect no change, the headline figure is -10.

-43.6
Sep, 17 14:30
Manufacturing Shipments
Manufacturing Shipments
Country:
Date: Sep, 17 14:30
Importance: Low
Previous: -1.2%
Forecast: -0.3%
Actual: -
Period: Jul

CManufacturing Shipments - also known as "shipments of goods of own manufacture" - report the production of goods produced by Canadian establishments in the "Manufacturing Sector (NAICS 31-33)". It measures the Dollar value, not the quantity of manufactured goods produced.

-1.2%
Sep, 17 15:15
★★
Capacity Utilization
Capacity Utilization
Country:
Date: Sep, 17 15:15
Importance: Medium
Previous: 77.5%
Forecast: 77.6%
Actual: -
Period: Aug

Capacity Utilization measures the extent to which US manufacturing companies make use of their installed productive capacity (factories and machinery). Capacity Utilization reflects overall growth and demand in the economy, rising when the economy is vibrant, and falling when demand softens. High capacity utilization also exerts inflationary pressures as scarce resources are in higher demand. However, it may also lead to new capital investments, such as new plants, that promote growth in the future.

77.5%
Sep, 17 15:15
★★
Industrial Production
Industrial Production
Country:
Date: Sep, 17 15:15
Importance: Medium
Previous: -0.2%
Forecast: 0.2%
Actual: -
Period: Aug

Measures changes in the volume of output produced by the manufacturing, mining, and utility sectors in the USA. Because industrial production is a measure of output volume rather than dollar value, the figure is not distorted by inflation and is considered a more "pure" indicator for US industry. Though industrial production only accounts for a relatively small portion of the GDP, it accounts for most of the volatility in GDP and is considered highly sensitive to changes in interest rate and consumer demand. Therefore understanding trends in this figure are important to forecasting the GDP. High or rising Industrial Production figures suggest increased production and economic expansion. However, uncontrolled levels of production and consumption can spark inflation.

The figure varies significantly month to month due to the fact that seasonal and weather related factors often alter factory production and utility demand. Because of this volatility, the report has limited market impact.

The figure is calculated as a weighted aggregate of goods and reported in headlines as a percent change from previous months.

-0.2%
Sep, 17 15:15
Manufacturing Production
Manufacturing Production
Country:
Date: Sep, 17 15:15
Importance: Low
Previous: -0.4%
Forecast: 0.1%
Actual: -
Period: Aug

The UK Manufacturing Production index is compiled by the National Statistics Office and measures the level of manufacturing output. It is an important indicator since it measures growth in the country’s manufacturing industry which is a major component of Gross Domestic Product. A low reading is considered bearish for the Sterling.

-0.4%
Sep, 17 16:00
NAHB Housing Market Index
NAHB Housing Market Index
Country:
Date: Sep, 17 16:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 66
Forecast: 66
Actual: -
Period: Sep

A timely gauge of home sales and expectations for future home building. Based on a small sample of homebuilders, the Housing Market Index is a timely indicator of future US home sales. However, as the index is not as comprehensive as formal housing reports like new home sales or MBA mortgage applications, the index acts more like a supplemental indicator for predicting housing trends.

As such, the NAHB Housing Market Index is still able to provide general insight to where the housing market is heading. Given that new home sales reflect 'big ticket' items that require construction and investment, the housing market is often viewed as an indicator of the direction of the economy as a whole. Growth in the housing market will spur subsequent spending, generating demand for goods and services and the employees who provide them.

The report headline is expressed in percentage change from the previous month. The NAHB Housing Market Index divides the Single-Family Sales data into three categories: Present, Next 6 Months and Prospective Buyers Traffic.

66
Sep, 17 16:30
Leading Index (Conference Board)
Leading Index (Conference Board)
Country:
Date: Sep, 17 16:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 107.3; 0.1%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Jul

The Index includes account inventory ratios, machinery orders, stock prices and other leading economic indicators. As the aggregate of many leading indices the Leading Economic Index provides a forecast of the future state of the domestic economy and is thought to predict activity that will occur 6-9 months after the reporting period.

The index operates on a 1-100 scale, where a value lower than 50 means that most indictors are negative and a value higher than 50 means most indicators are positive. In both cases a greater distance from the midpoint (50) means that the indicators are more strongly positive or negative.

107.3; 0.1%
Sep, 17 22:00
TICS
TICS
Country:
Date: Sep, 17 22:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 99.1bln
Forecast: 81.3bln
Actual: -
Period: Jul

Measures Capital Flow into U.S. Denominated Assets. Summarizes the flow of stocks, bonds and money market funds to and from the United States. The headline figure is the difference in value between American purchases of foreign securities and foreign purchases of American securities, expressed in millions of dollars. The Treasury International Capital or TIC statement is a major component of the American capital account and gives valuable insight into foreign demand for American investments and dollar.

A positive figure indicates that more capital is entering the US than leaving as sales of American securities to foreigners exceed American purchases of foreign securities. Such positive figures suggest that American security markets are competitive with those of other countries. Foreign security purchases are especially important in the case of a trade deficit, as a positive figure can offset the depreciating effect of a trade shortfall. On the contrary, a negative or declining TICS figure reflects a declining capital flow picture. Outflows are indicative of weaker demand for US assets which puts downward pressure on the value of the dollar.

A key feature of the TIC data is its measurement of the types of investors the dollar has; governments and private investors. Usually, a strong government holding of dollar denominated assets signals growing dollar optimism as it shows that governments are confident in the stability of the US dollar. Most importantly seems to be the purchases of Asian central banks such as that of Japan and China. Waning demand by these two behemoth US Treasury holders could be bearish for the US dollar. As for absolute amount of foreign purchases, the market generally likes to see purchases be much stronger than the funding needs of that same month's trade deficit. If it is not, it signals that there is not enough dollars coming in to match dollar going out of the country.

99.1bln
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