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Event Previous Forecast Actual
May, 12 06:00
Leading Indicators
Leading Indicators
Country:
Date: May, 12 06:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 98.7
Forecast: 102.8
Actual: -
Period: Mar
This index is designed to predict the direction of the economy, but it tends to have a muted impact because most of the indicators used in the calculation are released previously. There's a revised version of this indicator released about 10 days later, but it's not included for lack of significance. Source changed series from a diffusion index to a composite index as of Jun 2008. Combined reading of 11 economic indicators related to employment, production, new orders, consumer confidence, housing, stock prices, money supply, and interest rate spreads.
98.7 102.8 -
May, 12 07:00
★★
GDP
GDP
Country:
Date: May, 12 07:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 0.4% m/m; -1.6% 3m/3m
Forecast: 1.5% m/m; -1.7% 3m/3m
Actual: -
Period: Mar

The Gross Domestic Product is a comprehensive measure of an overall production and consumption of goods and services. GDP serves as one of the primary measures of overall economic well-being. While GDP announcements generally conform to expectations, unanticipated changes in this metric can move markets.

Robust GDP growth signals a heightened level of economic activity and often a higher demand for the domestic currency. At the same time, economic expansion raises concerns about inflationary pressures which may lead monetary authorities to increase interest rates. Thus better than expected GDP figures are generally bullish for the Euro, while negative readings are generally bearish.

Technically, Gross Domestic Product is calculated in the following way:

GDP = C + I + G + (EX - IM)

where

C = private consumption, I = private investment, G = government expenditure, EX = exports of goods and services, IM = imports of goods and services.

French GDP figures, officially called Quarterly National Accounts, are released quarterly. The headline figures are annualized percentage changes in real and nominal GDP.

0.4% m/m; -1.6% 3m/3m 1.5% m/m; -1.7% 3m/3m -
May, 12 07:00
★★
Industrial Production
Industrial Production
Country:
Date: May, 12 07:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 1.0% m/m; -3.5% y/y
Forecast: 1.0% m/m; 2.8% y/y
Actual: -
Period: Mar

A measure of the manufacturing output of the energy sector, factories, and mines. Industrial production is significant as a short-term indicator of the strength of UK industrial activity. Industry accounts for about a quarter of the overall GDP. Because industrial production accounts for most of the volatility in the GDP, foreknowledge of trends in manufacturing go a long way in forecasting UK output. High or rising Industrial Production figures suggest increased production and economic expansion, healthy for the Pound. However, uncontrolled levels of production and consumption can spark inflation. In times of inflation the Bank of England may raise interest rates to control growth.

1.0% m/m; -3.5% y/y 1.0% m/m; 2.8% y/y -
May, 12 07:00
★★
Manufacturing Production
Manufacturing Production
Country:
Date: May, 12 07:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 1.3% m/m; -4.2% y/y
Forecast: 1.0% m/m; 3.8% y/y
Actual: -
Period: Mar

The UK Manufacturing Production index is compiled by the National Statistics Office and measures the level of manufacturing output. It is an important indicator since it measures growth in the country’s manufacturing industry which is a major component of Gross Domestic Product. A low reading is considered bearish for the Sterling.

1.3% m/m; -4.2% y/y 1.0% m/m; 3.8% y/y -
May, 12 07:00
★★
Visible Trade Balance
Visible Trade Balance
Country:
Date: May, 12 07:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: -16.4bln
Forecast: -14.2bln
Actual: -
Period: Mar

The difference between imports and exports of goods. Visible Trade differentiates itself from Trade Balance because it does not record intangibles like services, only reporting on physical goods. Because Britain's economy is highly trade driven, Visible Trade data can give critical insight into developments in the economy and into foreign exchange rates.

-16.4bln -14.2bln -
May, 12 07:00
Construction Output
Construction Output
Country:
Date: May, 12 07:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 1.6% m/m; -4.3% y/y
Forecast: 1.1% m/m
Actual: -
Period: Mar

Index demonstrates the situation in the construction sector; it shows output of products and business activity sizes in this sigment of economy.

1.6% m/m; -4.3% y/y 1.1% m/m -
May, 12 07:00
Index of Services
Index of Services
Country:
Date: May, 12 07:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -1.9% 3m/3m; 0.2% m/m
Forecast: -1.7% 3m/3m
Actual: -
Period: Mar

The index tracks activity in services sector.

-1.9% 3m/3m; 0.2% m/m -1.7% 3m/3m -
May, 12 07:00
★★★
GDP
GDP
Country:
Date: May, 12 07:00
Importance: High
Previous: 1.3% q/q; -7.3% y/y
Forecast: -1.6% q/q; -6.0% y/y
Actual: -
Period: 1 quarter

The Gross Domestic Product is a comprehensive measure of an overall production and consumption of goods and services. GDP serves as one of the primary measures of overall economic well-being. While GDP announcements generally conform to expectations, unanticipated changes in this metric can move markets.

Robust GDP growth signals a heightened level of economic activity and often a higher demand for the domestic currency. At the same time, economic expansion raises concerns about inflationary pressures which may lead monetary authorities to increase interest rates. Thus better than expected GDP figures are generally bullish for the Euro, while negative readings are generally bearish.

Technically, Gross Domestic Product is calculated in the following way:

GDP = C + I + G + (EX - IM)

where

C = private consumption, I = private investment, G = government expenditure, EX = exports of goods and services, IM = imports of goods and services.

French GDP figures, officially called Quarterly National Accounts, are released quarterly. The headline figures are annualized percentage changes in real and nominal GDP.

1.3% q/q; -7.3% y/y -1.6% q/q; -6.0% y/y -
May, 12 07:00
Business Investment
Business Investment
Country:
Date: May, 12 07:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 5.9% q/q; -7.4% y/y
Forecast: -2.5% q/q
Actual: -
Period: 1 quarter

The change in capital expenditures made by private firms. Businesses only invest when they are optimistic about future economic growth and expect a profitable return on their investments. Because of this, increased capital expenditures usually reflect a higher level of consumer demand that induces companies to expand their productive capacity. Current Business Investment usually allow for higher GDP in the future. For these reasons Business Investment may lead economic growth.

The headline number is the percentage change in investment from the previous quarter.

5.9% q/q; -7.4% y/y -2.5% q/q -
May, 12 07:00
CPI
CPI
Country:
Date: May, 12 07:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.7% m/m; 2.0% y/y
Forecast: 0.7% m/m; 2.0% y/y
Actual: -
Period: Apr

Assesses changes in the cost of living by measuring changes in the prices of consumer items. The CPI is the headline inflation figure that indicates the strength of domestic inflationary pressures. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Euro in Germany , where each Euro buys fewer goods and services. CPI is the most popular way to measure changes in purchasing power. The report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical German household might purchase. An increase in the index indicates that it takes more Euros to purchase this same set of basic consumer items.

The German CPI is significant as one of the primary gauges of inflation. As the largest Eurozone economy, inflation in Germany will contribute significantly to inflation in the Eurozone and the behavior of the European Central Bank. High or rising inflation acts as a signal to the ECB to raise interest rates, an action which will result in the strengthening of the Euro. The headline figure for CPI is the percentage change in monthly and annualized percentage term.

0.7% m/m; 2.0% y/y 0.7% m/m; 2.0% y/y -
May, 12 07:00
Harmonized CPI
Harmonized CPI
Country:
Date: May, 12 07:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.5% m/m; 2.1% y/y
Forecast: 0.5% m/m; 2.1% y/y
Actual: -
Period: Apr

The Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) reflects changes in the prices of consumer goods and services in a specified period of time. The HICP measures changes of the average price level for goods and services that households consume (the fixed consumer basket). HICP is pure price index. It does not reflect the changes in buying or consumption patterns, brands, and does not reflect the effect of outlet and service provider substitution.

0.5% m/m; 2.1% y/y 0.5% m/m; 2.1% y/y -
May, 12 07:45
Consumer Price Index
Consumer Price Index
Country:
Date: May, 12 07:45
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.2% m/m; 1.3% y/y
Forecast: 0.2% m/m; 1.3% y/y
Actual: -
Period: Apr

Assesses changes in the cost of living by measuring changes in the prices of consumer items. The CPI is the headline inflation figure that indicates the strength of domestic inflationary pressures. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Euro in France , where each Euro buys fewer goods and services. CPI is the most popular way to measure changes in purchasing power. The report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical French household might purchase. An increase in the index indicates that it takes more Euros to purchase the same set of basic consumer items.

0.2% m/m; 1.3% y/y 0.2% m/m; 1.3% y/y -
May, 12 10:00
★★
European Commission Economic Forecasts
European Commission Economic Forecasts
Country:
Date: May, 12 10:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -

Economic forecasts concentrate on the EU, its individual member states, and the euro area but also include outlooks for some of the world's other major economies, and countries that are candidates for EU membership. ECFIN's forecasts are published three times a year in sync with the EU's annual cycle of economic surveillance procedures, known as the European Semester.

- - -
May, 12 10:00
Industrial Production
Industrial Production
Country:
Date: May, 12 10:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -1.0% m/m; -1.6% y/y
Forecast: 0.8% m/m; 11.6% y/y
Actual: -
Period: Mar

Measures the volume change of output of the manufacturing and energy sector. The industrial sector contributes to only a quarter of the Eurozone GDP. However, most variations in the GDP come from the industrial sector, whereas other sectors that contribute far more to national output historically have been very consistent regardless of economic cycles. That is why tracking industrial production is very important for forecasting GDP changes.

Note: The Industrial Production figure can be adjusted for the number of working days in the given time period and/or seasonally to account for weather related changes in production.

-1.0% m/m; -1.6% y/y 0.8% m/m; 11.6% y/y -
May, 12 10:00
★★★
BOE Deputy Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks
BOE Deputy Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks
Country:
Date: May, 12 10:00
Importance: High
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -
Andrew Bailey assumed the role of Deputy Governor for Prudential Regulation and Chief Executive Officer of the Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) on 1 April 2013. As Deputy Governor for Prudential Regulation and CEO of the PRA, Andrew Bailey is also a member of the Bank’s Court of Directors, the PRA Board, the Financial Policy Committee, and the Board of the Financial Conduct Authority.
- - -
May, 12 13:30
★★★
Consumer Price Index
Consumer Price Index
Country:
Date: May, 12 13:30
Importance: High
Previous: 0.6% m/m; 2.6% y/y
Forecast: 0.2% m/m; 3.6% y/y
Actual: -
Period: Apr

CPI assesses changes in the cost of living by measuring changes consumer pay for a set of items. CPI serves as the headline figure for inflation. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the dollar, where each dollar buys fewer goods and services. In terms of measuring inflation, CPI is the most obvious way to quantify changes in purchasing power. The report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical American household might purchase. An increase in the Consumer Price Index indicates that it takes more dollars to purchase the same set basket of basic consumer items.

Inflation is generally bad news for the economy, causing instability, uncertainty and hardship. To address inflation, the Fed may raise interest rates. However, the Fed relies on the PCE Deflator as its primary gauge of inflation because the CPI does not account for the ability of consumer to substitute out of CPI's set. Price changes tend to cause consumers to switch from buying one good to a less expensive-other, a tendency that the fixed-basket CPI figure does not yet account for. Given that the PCE Deflator is a more comprehensive calculation, based on changes in consumption; it is the figure the Fed prefers.

The figure is released monthly, as either a month over month annualized percentage change, or percentage change for the full year. The figure is seasonally adjusted to account seasonal consumption patterns.

On A Technical Note: The CPI includes over 200 categories of goods and services included, divided into 8 main groups, each with a different weight: Housing, Transportation, Food, Medical Care, Education and Communication, Recreation, Apparel, and Other Goods and Services.

0.6% m/m; 2.6% y/y 0.2% m/m; 3.6% y/y -
May, 12 13:30
★★★
Consumer Price Index Core
Consumer Price Index Core
Country:
Date: May, 12 13:30
Importance: High
Previous: 0.3% m/m; 1.6% y/y
Forecast: 0.3% m/m; 2.3% y/y
Actual: -
Period: Apr

CPI Excluding Food and Energy - United States

The CPI is also reported excluding food and energy; two of its most volatile components. These components are particularly sensitive to temporary economic factors like oil prices, natural disasters and seasonal affects. Consequently, CPI excluding Food and Energy provides a more stable figure, but at the cost of overlooking two significant sectors in the economy (together food and energy comprise nearly a quarter of the goods included in the CPI).

The figure is the monthly percent change in the index.

0.3% m/m; 1.6% y/y 0.3% m/m; 2.3% y/y -
May, 12 14:00
★★
FOMC member Richard Clarida will deliver a speech
FOMC member Richard Clarida will deliver a speech
Country:
Date: May, 12 14:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -
Richard Clarida has been serving as vice chairman of the Fed since September 17, 2018. He is a voting member of the FOMC, that is, he is directly involved in the formation of monetary policy. More optimistic statements, if expected, may support the demand for risk. On the other hand, concerns about inflation could benefit the dollar on expectations of tightening policies.
- - -
May, 12 15:30
★★
Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories
Country:
Date: May, 12 15:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: -7990K
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: May

The actual inventories of crude oil, gasoline, and distillate, such as jet fuel, as reported on a weekly basis. The numbers are watched closely by the energy markets, and if the results differ greatly from the expected inventory levels, the market can react strongly. The inventory data can be skewed by holidays and seasonal factors. Weekly data can be unreliable and should be viewed as a part of longer-term trends, so a four-week moving average may be more useful.

-7990K - -
May, 12 18:01
10-y Bond Auction
10-y Bond Auction
Country:
Date: May, 12 18:01
Importance: Low
Previous: 1.680%; 2.36
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: May
10-y Bond Auction is a leading market demand and profitability indicator. Profit falls compared to the previous auctions generally have a favourable influence on the currency.
1.680%; 2.36 - -
May, 12 19:00
Federal Budget Balance
Federal Budget Balance
Country:
Date: May, 12 19:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -659.6bln
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Apr

This is a report which measures the difference in value between the federal government's income and spending during the previous month.

-659.6bln - -
May, 12 23:45
Food Price
Food Price
Country:
Date: May, 12 23:45
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.0%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Apr

Measures the price change of food and food services purchased by households. Higher food prices can result in economic slowdown because less disposable income will be used for non-food expenditures. Higher food prices can also result in inflation and signal future monetary action.

Higher domestic food prices may also suggest higher food prices internationally. New Zealand 's economy is largely based on producing and exporting agricultural goods and food products. Therefore, the Food Price Index can reflect demand for New Zealand products and for the New Zealand dollar. A higher reading may suggest a strengthening of the Dollar as foreigners pay relatively more for New Zealand 's exports.

The headline number is the percentage change in the index from the previous month.

0.0% - -
May, 13 00:01
RICS House Price Balance
RICS House Price Balance
Country:
Date: May, 13 00:01
Importance: Low
Previous: 59%
Forecast: 62%
Actual: -
Period: Apr

Gauge for costs of homes in the United Kingdom. The figure is based on surveyors' opinions on the state of the market, calculated as is the percent of surveyors reporting a rise in prices minus those reporting a fall. A rise in house prices indicates a strong housing market, which generally reflects a strong overall economy.

59% 62% -
May, 13 00:50
Bank Lending
Bank Lending
Country:
Date: May, 13 00:50
Importance: Low
Previous: 6.3% y/y; 5.9% y/y
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Apr

The value of all outstanding loans with Japanese banks. Bank lending is important because lending increases with increased business confidence and investment. It is particularly insightful for the Japanese economy because of the weakness that has plagued the Japanese banking sector. The headline number is for total loans and discounts and is a percentage change from the previous year.

6.3% y/y; 5.9% y/y - -
May, 13 00:50
Current Account
Current Account
Country:
Date: May, 13 00:50
Importance: Low
Previous: 1794.7bln; 2916.9bln
Forecast: 1870.0bln
Actual: -
Period: Mar
1794.7bln; 2916.9bln 1870.0bln -
May, 13 02:00
★★
Consumer Inflation Expectation
Consumer Inflation Expectation
Country:
Date: May, 13 02:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 3.2%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: May

The percent by which, according to consumers expectations, the prices for goods and services will change over the next 12 months.

3.2% - -
May, 13 04:35
30-Year JGB Auction
30-Year JGB Auction
Country:
Date: May, 13 04:35
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.688%; 3.11
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: May
Yields are set by bond market investors, and therefore they can be used to decipher investors' outlook on future interest rates. The bid-to-cover ratio represents bond market liquidity and demand, which can be used to gauge investor confidence.
0.688%; 3.11 - -
May, 13 06:00
Economy Watchers Survey
Economy Watchers Survey
Country:
Date: May, 13 06:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 49.0; 49.8
Forecast: 47.6
Actual: -
Period: Apr

The Economy Watchers Survey asks business-cycle sensitive workers their thoughts on existing and future economic conditions, giving a detailed picture of economic trends in Japan . The survey is based on questionnaires from 'man on the street' sectors that are particularly vulnerable to business cycle turns. These segments of the economy include sectors such as retail, restaurant service and taxi driving. With this combined data the Japanese Eco Watchers report serves as both a consumer confidence indicator and a leading indicator for the rest of the economy. The report is usually released less than two weeks after the reporting month, thus its statistics are usually very timely. The headline number is released where 50 represents the center midpoint line of boom/bust sentiment.

49.0; 49.8 47.6 -
May, 13 13:00
★★
BOE Deputy Governor for Financial Stability Jon Cunliffe Speaks
BOE Deputy Governor for Financial Stability Jon Cunliffe Speaks
Country:
Date: May, 13 13:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -
Sir Jon Cunliffe became Deputy Governor for Financial Stability on 1 November 2013. Jon is a member of the Bank’s Financial Policy and Monetary Policy Committees, the Bank’s Court of Directors and the Prudential Regulation Authority Board. His speeches may include hints of regulation changes or the assessment of economic condition.
- - -
May, 13 13:30
★★
Unemployment Claims
Unemployment Claims
Country:
Date: May, 13 13:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 498K
Forecast: 500K
Actual: -
Period: May

The indicator shows the number of unemployed people in the USA.

498K 500K -
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