Date
GMT+00:00
Event Previous Forecast Actual
Dec, 05 15:00
★★
Personal Spending
Personal Spending
Country:
Date: Dec, 05 15:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 0.6%
Forecast: 0.3%
Actual: -
Period: Sep

Comprehensive measure of how much consumers spend each month, counting expenditures on durable goods, consumer products, and services. Personal Consumption is a comprehensive measure of GDP; consequently the figure is watched as an indicator for economic trends. Spending also has direct affect on inflationary pressures.

A healthy Personal Spending figure means that consumers are buying goods and services, fueling the economy and spurring output growth. The report is particularly valued for forecasting inflationary pressures. Taken in excess these high levels of consumption and production may lead to an overall increase in prices. Indeed, the Fed uses a measure of inflation derived from the PCE as their primary gauge of inflation.

On the other hand, persistently low Personal Spending may result in decreasing levels of output and an economic downturn.

Because income is either spent or saved, Personal Spending (when reported as a percent of income rather than the headline percent change) has an inverse relationship to personal saving. Economists watch the growth of Personal Spending in relation to income and saving to determine if consumers are living beyond their means, which would influence levels of borrowing and future consumption.

The PCE figure is released in headlines as a percent change from the previous month.

0.6% 0.3% -
Dec, 05 15:00
Personal Income
Personal Income
Country:
Date: Dec, 05 15:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.4%
Forecast: 0.3%
Actual: -
Period: Sep

Broad gauge of employee earnings in the US . Personal Income measures the pre-tax income households receive from employment, investments, and transfer payments. As wages and salaries make up the majority of Personal Income, the figure can provide insight on the US employment situation. However, because Personal Income is released after the headline employment figure and earnings figures, its impact on the market is muted. The figure is still useful in gauging the purchasing ability of consumers, though, as rising Personal Income allows for strong consumers spending. Such spending drives output growth and fuels the US economy.

0.4% 0.3% -
Dec, 05 15:00
★★
UoM Inflation Expectations
UoM Inflation Expectations
Country:
Date: Dec, 05 15:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 4.5%; 3.4%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Dec
The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index released by the University of Michigan is a survey of personal consumer confidence in economic activity. It shows a picture of whether or not consumers are willing to spend money. Generally speaking, a high reading anticipates positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
4.5%; 3.4% - -
Dec, 05 20:00
Consumer Credit
Consumer Credit
Country:
Date: Dec, 05 20:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 13.1
Forecast: 14.4
Actual: -
Period: Oct

Measures the outstanding debt held by consumers. Consumer Credit levels coincide with the economy, rising during economic expansion and dropping during a recession. Growth in Consumer Credit means that consumers have higher spending ability, which can fuel economic growth. However, too much Consumer Debt can result in an economic slowdown in the long term if consumers become overburdened with debt, then either reducing consumption or passing debt on to the financers after bankruptcy. The headline value is the outstanding debt held by consumers.

13.1 14.4 -