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Event Previous Forecast Actual
Aug, 09 06:01
BRC Retail Sales Monitor
BRC Retail Sales Monitor
Country:
Date: Aug, 09 06:01
Importance: Low
Previous: -1.3%
Forecast: -1.5%
Actual: -
Period: Jul

The BRCĀ  Retail Sales Monitor is an accurate monthly measure of retail sales performance that acts as both a benchmark for participating retailers and as a key economic indicator.

The RSM measures changes in the actual value of retail sales based on figures supplied directly by participating members. Originally set up at the request of BRC members to benchmark their own business performance against the wider sector, the BRCĀ  Retail Sales Monitor is an authoritative measure on the health of the UK retail sector and the wider economy.

-1.3% -1.5% -
Aug, 09 06:50
M2 Money Supply + CD
M2 Money Supply + CD
Country:
Date: Aug, 09 06:50
Importance: Low
Previous: 3.3%; 3.0%
Forecast: 3.3%
Actual: -
Period: Jul

Measure of the money supply used by the Bank of Japan. The figure includes all currency in circulation plus all bank deposits. This indicator tends to be tracked closely with the total money supply. The figure focuses mostly on individual deposit accounts rather than institutional accounts, making it a more attractive money indicator than broad liquidity measures. The headline figure is the percentage change from the previous year.

3.3%; 3.0% 3.3% -
Aug, 09 07:30
Westpac Consumer Sentiment
Westpac Consumer Sentiment
Country:
Date: Aug, 09 07:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 83.8; -3.0%
Forecast: 85.0; 1.4%
Actual: -
Period: Aug

Consumer Sentiment (or Consumer Confidence) measures the level of confidence households have in economic performance. Generally rising consumer confidence acts as a precursor to higher consumer expenditures which drive economic expansion.

83.8; -3.0% 85.0; 1.4% -
Aug, 09 08:30
NAB Business Confidence
NAB Business Confidence
Country:
Date: Aug, 09 08:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 1
Forecast: 2
Actual: -
Period: Jul

A survey of the current state of the business sector in Australia . Based on a survey of hundreds of small and large sized companies, the National Australia Bank delivers monthly comprehensive quarterly reports.

This comprehensive survey primarily provides insight into the state of the Australian economy and puts forth leading indicators that signal its future direction. Thus the survey's findings, if unexpected, have the power to move markets directly.

The National Australia Bank releases both a monthly and quarterly report. The quarterly report is more comprehensive, surveying around 1000 small to large non-farm firms. The quarterly report provides greater detail on the data as well as a short to mid-term outlook of Australia . Because of seasonal volatility and government protections the survey only excludes the farm sector.

1 2 -
Aug, 09 10:35
30-Year JGB Auction
30-Year JGB Auction
Country:
Date: Aug, 09 10:35
Importance: Low
Previous: 1.234%; 3.25
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Aug
Yields are set by bond market investors, and therefore they can be used to decipher investors' outlook on future interest rates. The bid-to-cover ratio represents bond market liquidity and demand, which can be used to gauge investor confidence.
1.234%; 3.25 - -
Aug, 09 13:00
Prelim Machine Tool Orders
Prelim Machine Tool Orders
Country:
Date: Aug, 09 13:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 17.1%
Forecast: 14.0%
Actual: -
Period: Jul

This is a report which measures the change in the total value of new orders placed with machine tool manufacturers.

17.1% 14.0% -
Aug, 09 16:30
30-y Bond Auction
30-y Bond Auction
Country:
Date: Aug, 09 16:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 2.531%; 2.24
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Aug
Yields are set by bond market investors, and therefore they can be used to decipher investors' outlook on future interest rates. The bid-to-cover ratio represents bond market liquidity and demand, which can be used to gauge investor confidence.
2.531%; 2.24 - -
Aug, 09 17:00
NFIB Small Business Index
NFIB Small Business Index
Country:
Date: Aug, 09 17:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 89.5
Forecast: 89.5
Actual: -
Period: Jul
Survey of small businesses which asks respondents to rate the relative level of economic conditions including labor markets, inventories and sales, capital spending, inflation, earnings and wages, and credit markets.
89.5 89.5 -
Aug, 09 19:30
Non-Farm Productivity
Non-Farm Productivity
Country:
Date: Aug, 09 19:30
Importance: Low
Previous: -7.3%
Forecast: -4.6%
Actual: -
Period: 2 quarter

Measures the output produced for each hour of labor worked. Non-farm Productivity is considered the most accurate gauge of overall business health, given farming data's small and volatile contribution to GDP. To businesses, higher productivity indicates efficient use of employees and capital. Given that labor costs make up more than two-thirds of the average businesses expenses, high productivity can allow a firm to fulfill consumer demand with less labor costs, boosting profitability. Thus trends in this report can precede investment spending and business growth. Also if prices for raw materials increase, improved productivity can save a firm from passing higher costs to the end consumer. Given such business effects, healthy productivity growth bodes well for the economy as a whole, signalling increased production capability and business growth.

Productivity is reported as output per hour per worker, categorized into industry figures.

On a Technical Note: The Non-Farm Productivity number is generated by comparing the number of hours worked (Employment Situation report) to Gross Domestic Product data.

-7.3% -4.6% -
Aug, 09 19:30
Labor Cost
Labor Cost
Country:
Date: Aug, 09 19:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 12.6%
Forecast: 9.4%
Actual: -
Period: 2 quarter

The indicator reflects the quarterly changes in salaries and other income received by working population.

12.6% 9.4% -
Aug, 10 06:50
Domestic Corporate Goods Price Index
Domestic Corporate Goods Price Index
Country:
Date: Aug, 10 06:50
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.7%; 9.2%
Forecast: 0.4%; 8.5%
Actual: -
Period: Jul

A Japanese index that measures the prices of goods created by firms at the producer and wholesaler level in Japan. The Domestic Corporate Goods Price Index (CGPI) tracks changes in supply side prices within the Japanese economy. Changes in the CGPI often precede changes in the overall Consumer Price Index, as input values determine the overall retail values of the consumer goods. Thus, a large increase in the domestic CGPI will lead to a large increase in the overall CPI.

0.7%; 9.2% 0.4%; 8.5% -
Aug, 10 08:30
★★★
CPI
CPI
Country:
Date: Aug, 10 08:30
Importance: High
Previous: 2.5%
Forecast: 2.9%
Actual: -
Period: Jul

Assesses changes in the cost of living by measuring changes in the prices of consumer items. The CPI is the headline inflation figure that indicates the strength of domestic inflationary pressures.

2.5% 2.9% -
Aug, 10 08:30
★★
PPI
PPI
Country:
Date: Aug, 10 08:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 6.1%
Forecast: 4.9%
Actual: -
Period: Jul

Measures changes in the selling prices producers charge for goods and services, and well as tracks how prices feed through the production process. Because producers tend to pass on higher costs to consumers as higher retail prices, the PPI is valuable as an early indicator of inflation. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Dollar, where each dollar buys fewer goods and services. The report also gives insight into how higher prices from raw materials flow toward the final product.

A rise in PPI signals an increase in inflationary pressures. Given the economic instability associated with rising price levels, the Fed often will raise interest rates to check inflation. A low or falling PPI is indicative of declining prices, and may suggest an economic slowdown.

The headline figure is expressed in percentage change of producer price.

Notes: The PPI records prices at various stages of production: raw goods, intermediate goods and finished goods. Though intermediate and crude goods prices do provide insight for future inflationary pressure, it is the price of finished goods that generates most interest for market participants. The finished goods data is able to gauge price pressure before the goods reach the retail market.

6.1% 4.9% -
Aug, 10 13:00
CPI
CPI
Country:
Date: Aug, 10 13:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.9%; 7.5%
Forecast: 0.9%; 7.5%
Actual: -
Period: Jul

Assesses changes in the cost of living by measuring changes in the prices of consumer items. The CPI is the headline inflation figure that indicates the strength of domestic inflationary pressures. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Euro in Germany , where each Euro buys fewer goods and services. CPI is the most popular way to measure changes in purchasing power. The report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical German household might purchase. An increase in the index indicates that it takes more Euros to purchase this same set of basic consumer items.

The German CPI is significant as one of the primary gauges of inflation. As the largest Eurozone economy, inflation in Germany will contribute significantly to inflation in the Eurozone and the behavior of the European Central Bank. High or rising inflation acts as a signal to the ECB to raise interest rates, an action which will result in the strengthening of the Euro. The headline figure for CPI is the percentage change in monthly and annualized percentage term.

0.9%; 7.5% 0.9%; 7.5% -
Aug, 10 13:00
Harmonized CPI
Harmonized CPI
Country:
Date: Aug, 10 13:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.8%; 8.5%
Forecast: 0.8%; 8.5%
Actual: -
Period: Jul

The Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) reflects changes in the prices of consumer goods and services in a specified period of time. The HICP measures changes of the average price level for goods and services that households consume (the fixed consumer basket). HICP is pure price index. It does not reflect the changes in buying or consumption patterns, brands, and does not reflect the effect of outlet and service provider substitution.

0.8%; 8.5% 0.8%; 8.5% -
Aug, 10 15:00
Gross Domestic Product
Gross Domestic Product
Country:
Date: Aug, 10 15:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.4%; 7.9%
Forecast: 0.4%; 7.9%
Actual: -
Period: Jul

The Gross Domestic Product is a comprehensive measure of an overall production and consumption of goods and services. GDP serves as one of the primary measures of overall economic well-being. GDP announcements generally conform to expectations as the number comes out after most production figures that lead to overall GDP have already been released. Although releases that are out of line with expectations are rare, unanticipated GDP growth can move markets simply because of its significance as an economic indicator.

0.4%; 7.9% 0.4%; 7.9% -
Aug, 10 16:30
30-y Bond Auction
30-y Bond Auction
Country:
Date: Aug, 10 16:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 1.41%; 2.1
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Aug
Yields are set by bond market investors, and therefore they can be used to decipher investors' outlook on future interest rates. The bid-to-cover ratio represents bond market liquidity and demand, which can be used to gauge investor confidence.
1.41%; 2.1 - -
Aug, 10 19:30
★★★
Consumer Price Index
Consumer Price Index
Country:
Date: Aug, 10 19:30
Importance: High
Previous: 1.3%; 9.1%
Forecast: 0.2%; 8.7%
Actual: -
Period: Jul

CPI assesses changes in the cost of living by measuring changes consumer pay for a set of items. CPI serves as the headline figure for inflation. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the dollar, where each dollar buys fewer goods and services. In terms of measuring inflation, CPI is the most obvious way to quantify changes in purchasing power. The report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical American household might purchase. An increase in the Consumer Price Index indicates that it takes more dollars to purchase the same set basket of basic consumer items.

Inflation is generally bad news for the economy, causing instability, uncertainty and hardship. To address inflation, the Fed may raise interest rates. However, the Fed relies on the PCE Deflator as its primary gauge of inflation because the CPI does not account for the ability of consumer to substitute out of CPI's set. Price changes tend to cause consumers to switch from buying one good to a less expensive-other, a tendency that the fixed-basket CPI figure does not yet account for. Given that the PCE Deflator is a more comprehensive calculation, based on changes in consumption; it is the figure the Fed prefers.

The figure is released monthly, as either a month over month annualized percentage change, or percentage change for the full year. The figure is seasonally adjusted to account seasonal consumption patterns.

On A Technical Note: The CPI includes over 200 categories of goods and services included, divided into 8 main groups, each with a different weight: Housing, Transportation, Food, Medical Care, Education and Communication, Recreation, Apparel, and Other Goods and Services.

1.3%; 9.1% 0.2%; 8.7% -
Aug, 10 19:30
★★★
Consumer Price Index Core
Consumer Price Index Core
Country:
Date: Aug, 10 19:30
Importance: High
Previous: 0.7%; 5.9%
Forecast: 0.5%; 6.1%
Actual: -
Period: Jul

CPI Excluding Food and Energy - United States

The CPI is also reported excluding food and energy; two of its most volatile components. These components are particularly sensitive to temporary economic factors like oil prices, natural disasters and seasonal affects. Consequently, CPI excluding Food and Energy provides a more stable figure, but at the cost of overlooking two significant sectors in the economy (together food and energy comprise nearly a quarter of the goods included in the CPI).

The figure is the monthly percent change in the index.

0.7%; 5.9% 0.5%; 6.1% -
Aug, 10 21:00
Wholesale Inventories
Wholesale Inventories
Country:
Date: Aug, 10 21:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 1.9%
Forecast: 1.9%
Actual: -
Period: Jun

The stock of unsold goods held by wholesalers. Wholesalers act as intermediaries between manufacturers or importers, and retailers. Wholesalers sell directly to retailers, who strive to act in accordance (ideally) with consumer demand. Consequently, high Wholesale Inventories indicate that unsold goods are piling up, suggesting that retailers are facing lagging consumer demand and unwilling to purchase goods. Conversely, declining Wholesale Inventories suggest retailers are buying more goods to meet strong or rising demand. Because Wholesale Inventories reflect the demand retailers have for their manufacturers' wares, the report offers an early indication of the potential strength of consumer spending.

Wholesale Inventories are reported in headlines as a percent change from the previous month.

1.9% 1.9% -
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