Date
GMT+01:00
Event Value
Sep, 18 21:00
TICS
TICS
Country:
Date: Sep, 18 21:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -36.5bln
Forecast: 65.1bln
Actual: -
Period: Jul

Measures Capital Flow into U.S. Denominated Assets. Summarizes the flow of stocks, bonds and money market funds to and from the United States. The headline figure is the difference in value between American purchases of foreign securities and foreign purchases of American securities, expressed in millions of dollars. The Treasury International Capital or TIC statement is a major component of the American capital account and gives valuable insight into foreign demand for American investments and dollar.

A positive figure indicates that more capital is entering the US than leaving as sales of American securities to foreigners exceed American purchases of foreign securities. Such positive figures suggest that American security markets are competitive with those of other countries. Foreign security purchases are especially important in the case of a trade deficit, as a positive figure can offset the depreciating effect of a trade shortfall. On the contrary, a negative or declining TICS figure reflects a declining capital flow picture. Outflows are indicative of weaker demand for US assets which puts downward pressure on the value of the dollar.

A key feature of the TIC data is its measurement of the types of investors the dollar has; governments and private investors. Usually, a strong government holding of dollar denominated assets signals growing dollar optimism as it shows that governments are confident in the stability of the US dollar. Most importantly seems to be the purchases of Asian central banks such as that of Japan and China. Waning demand by these two behemoth US Treasury holders could be bearish for the US dollar. As for absolute amount of foreign purchases, the market generally likes to see purchases be much stronger than the funding needs of that same month's trade deficit. If it is not, it signals that there is not enough dollars coming in to match dollar going out of the country.

-36.5bln
Sep, 18 23:00
Westpac Consumer Confidence
Westpac Consumer Confidence
Country:
Date: Sep, 18 23:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 108.6
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: 3 quarter

Officially called the Consumer Sentiment Index, this figure measures the level of consumer confidence and is an average of five indices measuring different aspects of consumer fiscal health. This is one of the few indicators that are entirely expectation-based. Households report their views on current buying conditions for household items and where they feel are the "wisest" places to invest savings. Views on future political policy (taxes, politicians, government) and economic conditions (wages, inflation, unemployment) are also surveyed.

Confidence figures are often leading indicators for the consumer spending and the economy as a whole. The headline figure is percentage change in the index value from that of the previous month.

108.6
Sep, 18 23:45
★★
Current Account
Current Account
Country:
Date: Sep, 18 23:45
Importance: Medium
Previous: 0.18bln
Forecast: -1.32bln
Actual: -
Period: 2 quarter

The Current Account index measures the difference in value between exported and imported goods, services and interest payments during the reported month. The goods portion is the same as the monthly Trade Balance figure. Because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports the data can have a sizable affect on the NZD.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the NZD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the NZD.

0.18bln
Sep, 19 00:50
Trade Balance
Trade Balance
Country:
Date: Sep, 19 00:50
Importance: Low
Previous: -45.6В; -231.2В
Forecast: -144.1В; -483.2В
Actual: -
Period: Aug

The difference between the total value of exports and the total value of imports. A positive figure indicates a trade surplus while a negative value represents a trade deficit. Because Japan 's economy is highly export-led, trade data can give critical insight into developments in Japan 's economy and changes into foreign exchange rates.

A surplus reflects capital flowing into Japan in exchange for Japanese exports, and a deficit means that capital is flowing out of Japan as imports are purchased in larger volumes by Japanese consumers. A trade surplus will act as an appreciating weight on the Yen, whereas a trade deficit will place downward pressure on the Yen's value.

Details in the Trade Balance report itself give useful insight into changing trends regarding Japanese trade. Such developments are especially important for the country, which is an export-oriented economy that has historically experienced large trade surpluses. Any affect on this could have dramatic affect on the domestic economy.

The headline figure for trade balance is expressed in millions of Yen and usually accompanied by a year-on-year percentage change figure.

-45.6В; -231.2В
Sep, 19 01:30
MI Leading Index
MI Leading Index
Country:
Date: Sep, 19 01:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.0% m/m
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Aug

A leading indicator for Australian economic activity calculated by Melbourne Institute.

0.0% m/m
Sep, 19 02:30
★★
RBA Assistant Governor Christopher Kent Speaks
RBA Assistant Governor Christopher Kent Speaks
Country:
Date: Sep, 19 02:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -
Christopher Kent is Reserve Bank of Australia Assistant Governor since February 2012. He is responsible for the Bank’s Economic Analysis and Economic Research Departments. He is also Chief Economic Adviser to the RBA Governor. His comments may cast light on the regulator’s position and the Australian dollar exchange rate.
Sep, 19 06:45
SECO Economic Forecasts
SECO Economic Forecasts
Country:
Date: Sep, 19 06:45
Importance: Low
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -

The State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECO) “is the federal government's centre of expertise for all core issues relating to economic policy. Its aim is to ensure sustainable economic growth by putting in place the necessary regulatory and economic policy conditions.” - Source www.seco.admin.ch

SECO Economic Forecasts are released quarterly and include expectations for GDP and its components such as: consumption expenditure (personal and government), construction investment, investment in equipment and software, exports, imports, employment (full time equivalent), rate of unemployment and the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

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